Tropical 2025 Tropical Thread

[Caesar]

Icon 0z gif as compared to


when the ICON first picked up on Hurricane Debby this time last year and Debby's actual path.




The ICON is definitely something to watch!

 

[Caesar]

ICON 12z still showing activity along the East coast.

 

[NCSNOW]

Shear is saving the day out there currently

 

[lexxnchloe]

As long as the GFS makes doorknobs seem lively i have to assume everything on the EUROis fantasy.

 

[lexxnchloe]

AI joins the GFS showing nothing




Euro alot less active. Just 1 weak low.

 

[lexxnchloe]

SST's july 01



July 28




The super hot SST's in the NW ATL that were supposed to cause stabilty have cooled alot while the MDR has warmed alot. I dont think SST's can be blamed if the season remains dead.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Shows how little SST's matter

 

[Shaggy]

AI joins the GFS showing nothing

View attachment 173729


Euro alot less active. Just 1 weak low.


View attachment 173732

What do the ensembles look like?

 

[lexxnchloe]

What do the ensembles look like?

To be honest i never look at them

 

[lexxnchloe]

Nothing?

 

[lexxnchloe]

CFS gets a little active at the end of the month but the pattern is changing starting Fri and nothing gets close to the coast.

 

[Rain Cold]

Nothing?

View attachment 173736

High, not ideal

Shear + dust + sinking air = cfs + AIs + Joe Bastardi tweets

 

[vtrap90]

To be honest i never look at them

360hr tropical tidbits outputs, the occasional 600hr CFS, and the occasional X post from Big Joe are all you look at.

 

[lexxnchloe]

360hr tropical tidbits outputs, the occasional 600hr CFS, and the occasional X post from Big Joe are all you look at.

Like this

 

[vtrap90]

Like this

View attachment 173739

That one is 336 hours. Getting close to when it matters.

 

[Shaggy]

A 300 hour gfs op run is useless. I only look at the ensembles and they are showong signs of life. For example the 12z EPS