lexxnchloe
Member
Ensembles more recurve like
This storm ends up going across the Florida peninsula and makes a second landfall on the Florida panhandle. It then turns northwest as it loses its tropical characteristics. If this were to happen, it would be at least a big rainmaker for Florida and the eastern Gulf states.
Euro, AI, and GFS all have a non-recurver. However, looking at satellite i cant figure out where any of these storms are supposed to form from. My guess is there will be nothing after a quickly dissipating dexter. Weakest first 4 in history all from non tropical origins.Azores HP is way far east on Brent map. If that's correct, which it's way to early to tell, it will be re-curve city.
I'm more interested in the H5 Pattern up top/ blocking etc for 2cnd week into mid August. The steering flow is what matters, regardless if you dealing with a tropical storm( Rainmaker) of Hurricane. It's all for naught if we can keep it out to sea. When I see blocking HPs forecasted in position in August/September, that's when I perk up/ pay attn.
My hunch is the models will start backing off development later today.If anything does form they sure want to make it a very large hurricane with a big wind field
My hunch is the models will start backing off development later today.
I wish i knew where that is supposed to be forming from.Yeah the hurricane season is so dead nothing to see here View attachment 173868
Maybe. Ensembles have been showing activity in that time frame as well so the op isn't all alone
I wish i knew where that is supposed to be forming from.
some named flotsam in the subtropics and long range taking the bait on a few cape verde cruisers that are likely fish storms
textbook for early august
12 days out but that would be a Hugo 2.0 depending on forward speed, fruitless to guess until something if anything forms. Better than 30 days out though. I hope for a different solution!Yeah the hurricane season is so dead nothing to see here View attachment 173868
i find long range fantasy hurricanes both:12 days out but that would be a Hugo 2.0 depending on forward speed, fruitless to guess until something if anything forms. Better than 30 days out though. I hope for a different solution!