lexxnchloe
Member
AI similar to GFS but later
Last edited:
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical 2025 Tropical Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
lexxnchloe
Member
Plenty of Aug activity on the CFS but the pattern has changed and a more winterlike pattern keeps everything well offshore.
Shaggy
Member
Eps has at least some hints of a NC threat but it's just so far out its just something to watch
lexxnchloe
Member
GFS back to nothing thru Aug 10 and JB thinks another dead time is coming after the AUG burst.
lexxnchloe
Member
Shaggy
Member
Ensembles are waking up too
lexxnchloe
Member
0Z models very quiet
lexxnchloe
Member
Some activity in the real long range
lexxnchloe
Member
No AUG burst yet on the GFS
Pattern has a stagnant stalled front tropical wave interaction look in about 10-14
lexxnchloe
Member
Still no burst and since it takes awhile for disturbances to show up there might not be a burst.
Last edited:
lexxnchloe
Member
Euro has a little something
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
No change from LC
The ENSO 3.4 signature is now a weak La Nina. This episode may attain moderate status briefly into the Fall and Winter before weakening to neutral levels in the coming Spring. Chances for more and stronger tropical cyclones usually increase when the 3.4 sector reaches -1.0 deg C deviation, which is a reason to approach the forecast with a more bullish approach. My outlook remains for22 named storms, 12 hurricanes and 6 major cyclones before the tropical season ends on November 30.
The ENSO 3.4 signature is now a weak La Nina. This episode may attain moderate status briefly into the Fall and Winter before weakening to neutral levels in the coming Spring. Chances for more and stronger tropical cyclones usually increase when the 3.4 sector reaches -1.0 deg C deviation, which is a reason to approach the forecast with a more bullish approach. My outlook remains for22 named storms, 12 hurricanes and 6 major cyclones before the tropical season ends on November 30.
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
Who has the best maps that show upper level convergence/divergence for the tropics?
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
Everyone will be jumping on JB's bandwagon
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
EURO has this, GFS has nothing
lexxnchloe
Member
At 06Z the AI is back to nothing now like all other models
JB already talking about another dead time after what was an AI storm or 2. Things look bleak for tracking
JB already talking about another dead time after what was an AI storm or 2. Things look bleak for tracking
Brent
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
No burst
AI saves the day
AI saves the day
Shaggy
Member
Gefs is active
lexxnchloe
Member
NCSNOW
Member
Whats with this gyro. Pulsing up an down past day or so?
lexxnchloe
Member
He is mocking us
lexxnchloe
Member
A little something on the ICON
Brent
Member
Just FYI...
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
GFSstill shows nada
lexxnchloe
Member
GFS says this time its the EURO on crack
