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Tropical 2025 Tropical Thread

For the first time in weeks, the latest Euro Weeklies actually has a week forecasted to be slightly above the 2005-2024 average in the ATL basin. It’s for Aug 11-17:

It has that week at 110% of 2005-24 avg:
IMG_4067.png

Just two runs ago it had only 60% of 2005-24 avg:
IMG_4068.png

The highlighted areas have the highest chance for something nearby that week:

IMG_4069.png
 

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