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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

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Im looking at that and i still see no green anywhere in the ATL basin thru AUG31. It still shows a bit of sinking if anything. He still sees dry air as a problem as well. Aug-early oct is the only period of interesting weather here and it looks to be a slow august. Taking another look the green that gets into the GOM and west carib evaporates by the end of Aug. I cant see how a hyperactive season is possible now.
 
Whether or not one wants the Atlantic to return to active (I’m fine with inactive being that I’m in a vulnerable location), model signals still appear to me to suggest activity will likely start in either the 1st or 2nd week of August.
 
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