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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

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Meanwhile there is still no sign of hyper-active


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What is showing up on the Euro is also a feature on the GFS. I may be the only one but these low pressures north of the CV islands are killing tropical waves


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I would think the opposite is needed for waves to amount to anything. High pressure north of CV, Low pressure south.
That and the Saharan dust which has been more dense than normal have kept things in check in the Atlantic thus far.
 
It looks like the models shifted west a little overnight. Several of them now showing wind and rain as far west as GSP and HKY. The Euro actually brings the center almost into upstate SC now, before it only slowly moves northeast from there.
 
It looks like the models shifted west a little overnight. Several of them now showing wind and rain as far west as GSP and HKY. The Euro actually brings the center almost into upstate SC now, before it only slowly moves northeast from there.
There is a separate thread now for TD4
 
Not even a week ago people were saying this season is a bust, no patience lol
Won’t be surprised if we’re tracking a low almost every day until October now
 
It doesnt seem like the season is ready to be active at all. Other than the sloppy raintorm hitting the SE next week no model shows anything else. Nothing says hyperactive now.
Not everything has to be a cat5. This one may produce 2 feet of rain and still hit the US as a hurricane, maybe more than once. We could have had a fist storm instead of thats your cup of tea. It’s not good that all the storms are hitting land and causing damage. Record early cat5 and people are still complaining. Like what do you want? CAT 5 into nyc or your backyard?
 
According to the GFS The ATL ridging is gone and center well north and east with a trof off the east coast. Similar to the last 3 years.

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