Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

[SD]

I think this is not impossible but it's fairly aggressive. The setup certainly does favor something trying to get going but it's got the potential to be a larger gyre of low pressure with greater pressure falls inland of the beaches that's not able to easily consolidate vorticity.

We've had similar setups in the past with varying results. Right of the top of my head Alex, Gaston, Arthur, Tammy are a few with names not to mention the summer fronts that failed to consolidate that put an inverted trough into the central and eastern Carolinas with really no sfc development

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Ron Burgundy]

I think this is not impossible but it's fairly aggressive. The setup certainly does favor something trying to get going but it's got the potential to be a larger gyre of low pressure with greater pressure falls inland of the beaches that's not able to easily consolidate vorticity.

We've had similar setups in the past with varying results. Right of the top of my head Alex, Gaston, Arthur, Tammy are a few with names not to mention the summer fronts that failed to consolidate that put an inverted trough into the central and eastern Carolinas with really no sfc development

Yes but one major contributing factor to consider is that we are heading to Fripp this weekend so…

 

[Downeastnc]

I think this is not impossible but it's fairly aggressive. The setup certainly does favor something trying to get going but it's got the potential to be a larger gyre of low pressure with greater pressure falls inland of the beaches that's not able to easily consolidate vorticity.

We've had similar setups in the past with varying results. Right of the top of my head Alex, Gaston, Arthur, Tammy are a few with names not to mention the summer fronts that failed to consolidate that put an inverted trough into the central and eastern Carolinas with really no sfc development

 

[lexxnchloe]

Its an outside possibility but if the really big storm numbers verify this season a few things like this need to develop.

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[SD]

Lol 18z 3k might wind this up into a CAT 5 before the run ends

 

[lexxnchloe]

Lol 18z 3k might wind this up into a CAT 5 before the run ends

Lets see a pic!!

 

[Snowfan]

Lol 18z 3k might wind this up into a CAT 5 before the run ends

Another year, Another NAM fantasy Category 5 run.

 

[Downeastnc]

Lets see a pic!!

I think he was a bit tongue in cheek though the 18z nam does have a big broad low off the se coast....same with the regular nam much more consolidated than previous run.

 

[SD]

I think he was a bit tongue in cheek though the 18z nam does have a big broad low off the se coast....same with the regular nam much more consolidated than previous run.

I made the mistake of posting before the run finished. The vort center was wrapping up quickly but once that upper low to the NE got involved it was game over so that's something to keep in mind going forward less separation there would mean no or weak development

 

[lexxnchloe]

Baby steps. Could at the least dent the heat with clouds and rain

 

[ChrisAMB]

Gulf Stream is a bit east this year in its wandering but the water off Myrtle Beach is 86-88 still. Nasty hot so maybe this will cool it a bit.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Another baby step. Maybe a depression can make a go

 

[lexxnchloe]

Its possible a depression could form but it should dent the heat a bit for Eastern NC

 

[Brick Tamland]

The Tropical Meterology Project at Colorado State has updated their forecast for hurricane season and they are calling for it to be even more active than previously forecasted.

 

[Shaggy]

Got some naked swirl going north of the Bahamas

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Chrisgo]

Got some naked swirl going north of the Bahamas

Shear keeping her in check

 

[Shaggy]

Shear keeping her in check

Yea and it should prevent any development