1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
Satellite derived winds and preliminary aircraft reconnaissance
data indicate that the area of low pressure located over the
southern portion of the Bay of Campeche has become better organized
during the past few hours and a tropical depression could be
forming. The system is moving toward west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph and is expected to approach the eastern coast of Mexico tonight
and move inland on Monday morning. Consequently, a Tropical Storm
Watch may be required later today for a portion of the eastern coast
of Mexico. Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor
the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall will result in areas of flooding across eastern Mexico
today and into Monday, with mudslides possible in areas of higher
terrain. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.