Brent
Member
Well the NHC is interested in the long range threat. GFS has a ton of land interaction in it's path though 
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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread
- Thread starter lexxnchloe
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JHS
Member
If it were to happen, I do not think it goes out to sea.
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
12Z EPS for the AEW just off Africa (that lead to TD in GOM at 240 on 0Z Euro but nothing on 12Z Euro as posted above):
still has members with a TC (~10) but that’s only ~1/2 as many as 0Z EPS had. About 8 of these 10 hit the CONUS from LA around to NC Aug 4-8.
still has members with a TC (~10) but that’s only ~1/2 as many as 0Z EPS had. About 8 of these 10 hit the CONUS from LA around to NC Aug 4-8.
Henry2326
Member
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Some development of this system will
be possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the
early to middle part of next week and moves generally
west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles toward the latter part
of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent
Forecaster Berg
Henry2326
Member
12z Euro and 12z ICON placement on 7/31 and 8/1.
Henry2326
Member
12z NavGem has it the same general area on 8/1 while 12z CMC pops it out entering the gulf on 8/3.
Henry2326
Member
Finally catching on.....waiting on download for the rest of it.
8/5
8/5
Henry2326
Member
Yikes...."Houston" we have a problem? 8/6
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weatherboyy
Member
Louisiana and Texas storm. We on the right side
weather bubba
Member
It looks like more of the models are in agreement with a tropical system in the GOM or the Atlantic during the first week of August. This is something that bears watching. We'll find out more as the late Dr. John Hope used in his favorite phrase on the Weather Channel "as time goes by".
lexxnchloe
Member
Bad news with all the rain they are already having. GFS also shows a hurricane not far away in the east pac. Does the EURO bring it back tonite? They need to agree for confidence.
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Henry2326
Member
Too far in the future for any agreement. It will change every day.
JHS
Member
These maps leave room for recurving storms if they form in the Atlantic. Of course, anything in the Gulf will have to come ashore somewhere. Hopefully not Houston or the Lake Charles area though. They have had enough bad weather to last a lifetime there.
JHS
Member
Agreed, and we will not know much at all until something actually forms somewhere.
Brent
Member
0z models are bullish in the Gulf
lexxnchloe
Member
Euro and GFS both agree now there will be a storm, just where?
Shaggy
Member
6Z gfs shifted from Texas to a Irma like track up the west side of Florida. Only thing that far out to focus on is the signal for a storm. Details come later
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