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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

"Our analog seasons were all very active Atlantic hurricane seasons," Klotzbach said in the news release. "This highlights the somewhat higher level of confidence that exists with this outlook relative to our typical early August forecast."

The team at CSU predicts that the 2024 hurricane activity will be about 190% of the average season from 1991-2020.

"By comparison, 2023's hurricane activity was about 120% of the average season," CSU said.

Oops
Big oops.
 
Guess we'll have to wait until October when CV season is over.


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I wouldn’t have a problem with that but we’re skipping to Oct already? That was quick lol.
 
There are 10k deaths per year in the US from canes?
That's a global average according to google. Looking at stats for CONUS 2000-2021:

Hurricanes And Related Deaths In The United States, 2000-2021​




YearTotal
hurricanes (1)
Made landfall
as hurricane
in the U.S.
Deaths (2)
2000804
20051551,408
2006500
2007611
200884 (3)41
200931 (4)6
201012011
20117144
2012101 (5)83
2013201
2014612
2015403
20167336
2017104147
20188248
20196215 (6)
202013647
20217468




2001-2004 are obviously missing. Some of the other years don't make sense as there were 0 landfalls but still deaths.
 
That's a global average according to google. Looking at stats for CONUS 2000-2021:

Hurricanes And Related Deaths In The United States, 2000-2021​




YearTotal
hurricanes (1)
Made landfall
as hurricane
in the U.S.
Deaths (2)
2000804
20051551,408
2006500
2007611
200884 (3)41
200931 (4)6
201012011
20117144
2012101 (5)83
2013201
2014612
2015403
20167336
2017104147
20188248
20196215 (6)
202013647
20217468




2001-2004 are obviously missing. Some of the other years don't make sense as there were 0 landfalls but still deaths.

Oh ok that makes more sense...
 
That's a global average according to google. Looking at stats for CONUS 2000-2021:

Hurricanes And Related Deaths In The United States, 2000-2021​




YearTotal
hurricanes (1)
Made landfall
as hurricane
in the U.S.
Deaths (2)
2000804
20051551,408
2006500
2007611
200884 (3)41
200931 (4)6
201012011
20117144
2012101 (5)83
2013201
2014612
2015403
20167336
2017104147
20188248
20196215 (6)
202013647
20217468




2001-2004 are obviously missing. Some of the other years don't make sense as there were 0 landfalls but still deaths.

Where did you get this data from? To explain the 0 landfalls and no deaths is simple. Hurricane Igor is credited for a few deaths in Puerto Rico while not making landfall. There maybe other situations but I didn't want to read everything here: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/143/9/mwr-d-11-00264.1.xml
 
Where did you get this data from? To explain the 0 landfalls and no deaths is simple. Hurricane Igor is credited for a few deaths in Puerto Rico while not making landfall. There maybe other situations but I didn't want to read everything here: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/143/9/mwr-d-11-00264.1.xml
Here is the link: https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-hurricanes

I didn't read the footnotes below the chart that state the deaths occurred in non landfalling storms. It also didn't include Sandy due to being post tropical.
 
Here is the link: https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-hurricanes

I didn't read the footnotes below the chart that state the deaths occurred in non landfalling storms. It also didn't include Sandy due to being post tropical.
It's likely in how they count deaths due to influence of the storm. Tornado spawned that case a death, a rip current death from rough seas even if the cane doesn't landfall are likely counted.

Same with winter storms. Snow itself doesn't kill anyone I'd imagine. Car accidents, heart attacks, loss of power and extreme cold are all things we see in winter storms.

I believe I read somewhere that close to 850k people go to the hospital woth orthopedic injuries from falls in the snow.

People love to root for snow storms
 
It's likely in how they count deaths due to influence of the storm. Tornado spawned that case a death, a rip current death from rough seas even if the cane doesn't landfall are likely counted.

Same with winter storms. Snow itself doesn't kill anyone I'd imagine. Car accidents, heart attacks, loss of power and extreme cold are all things we see in winter storms.

I believe I read somewhere that close to 850k people go to the hospital woth orthopedic injuries from falls in the snow.

People love to root for snow storms
I believe you on the winter weather deaths. Between all the incidents you stated above I think Winter Weather on average is more deadly Conus! It effects more people.
 
Thru 294 12Z GFS says its february in the Atlantic. All sparks gone. The good news is we have had 2 fantasy canes in Sept with lots of fantasy ACE.
 
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