Brent
Member
I mean Sandy was around Halloween but Sandy was also a very strange setup
It would be a literal perfect storm if it happened around Election Day
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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I mean Sandy was around Halloween but Sandy was also a very strange setup
It would be a literal perfect storm if it happened around Election Day
Henry2326
Member
Fantasyland.....but good grief.
Milton had 2 lows also.
Milton had 2 lows also.
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
West side of FLA this time
Brent
Member
If that actually verifies poor Perry lol
Brent
Member
Day before the election
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lexxnchloe
Member
Hybrid howler
lexxnchloe
Member
Lots of rain for Eastern Cuba
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severestorm
Member
Cuba is going through a nationwide blackout. This certainly isn't helping things.
lexxnchloe
Member
Its coming back over Cuba. They will need a new scale for rainfall if this actually happened.
Heavy rain from 216-330
Heavy rain from 216-330
Shaggy
Member
Its changing every run but it and it's ensembles are picking up on something.
This run would be devastating for Cuba, Jamaica and Hispaniola
lexxnchloe
Member
Yea, very inconsistent
lexxnchloe
Member
severestorm
Member
i'm staying up for the 0z runs out fear.
Brent
Member
Hopefully it'll be more like Michelle 2001 if something does happen and miss the US
Still a long way out no reason to panic. There's 500 possibilities at this stage. You're talking about 12 days from the election still
JHS
Member
That 992MB low should move east or northeast and send any hurricane well out to sea. Of course, neither may show up on the 0z run.
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
Downeastnc
Member
Yeesh this would suck...
06Z is a monster too...977 over RDU would be windy...
06Z is a monster too...977 over RDU would be windy...
JHS
Member
For now, but it's getting closer in on every run. I'd like some rain, but not from a hurricane.
Downeastnc
Member
Lots of ensemble support on gfs and euro...
Brent
Member
I don't like how consistent the signal is
Henry2326
Member
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
The start of troughs moving east and whatever forms imo goes out to sea.
Henry2326
Member
Next week, between Wednesday and Friday, we should have go time for a low. NHC should pop in during that time. Next name is Patty.
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Henry2326
Member
I disagree.....it's a possible solution, but not likely. The setup is looking more like Helene, unfortunately. We will see if it materializes.
Shaggy
Member
Yeah this is like 10 runs maybe with the system. That's a concern for sure
Henry2326
Member
And it was on the ensembles big time before the operational kicked in.
Yep pretty typical of this pattern later in the tropical season. Mjo forced ridge in the east with a tropical system under it. Mjo moves into the trough favored phases so the ridge starts getting beat on then it becomes a race between pulling the system north into the US, hook OTS, or getting left behind and a slow W drift into C America
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
No ENS support either. It's a one run deal unless they start supporting that time frame too.
AJ1013
Member
JHS
Member
The 6z run is faster, but farther east. Still a very close call for areas in NC and SC hit by Helene, and the timing could not be worse. Hopefully this just goes away, but I have a bad feeling about it.
Shaggy
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
Brent
Member
The GFS isn't funny anymore