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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

GFS similar to Euro AI. Double trouble


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At this point when considering the ensembles, Euro Weeklies, projected MJO, the weak La Niña, and very warm W Caribbean SSTs, I’d be surprised if a TS+ doesn’t originate in the W Caribbean in very late Oct or early Nov. Hopefully it stays away from S FL and the rest of the US! If I were in Cuba and the Bahamas, I’d be especially aware.
 
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Good thing its 350 hours away and there's no reason to take this at face value.
That would be interesting to see on Election Day. My polling place is within walking distance of my house so this wouldn't be an issue for me but this might convince some voters to stay home. It would be interesting seeing who would benefit from a lower turnout at the polls.
 
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