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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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So this winter will be a 3rd year Niña? Not sure if I remember seeing that, in all my years of following weather
11-12, 01-02. I wouldn't be too excited about winter prospects in the SE right now
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Yeah but 11-12 was a 2nd year Niña and was a big analog for this previous winter and it turned out nothing like 11-12.
Brent
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Last edited:
Not as excited now.
Hardee's has a new fried egg and sausage biscuit... It's great.
Brent
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An area of low pressure is expected to develop by the middle part
of this week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it drifts generally
northwestward off the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...20 percent.
of this week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it drifts generally
northwestward off the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...20 percent.
accu35
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Last couple of gefs runs has this storm further north in the gulf. Something to watch
Brent
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Probably gonna be hard to break the heat ridge if I had to guess but we'll see
weather bubba
Member
I know it's early to be looking at the Atlantic but what does the Sahara dust flow coming off Africa look like? It seems that in recent years it has put a cap on early development in the Atlantic.
Brent
Member
There's some right now but that's very typical this time of year. It usually decreases towards August which ironically coincides with when the real season starts. You can still see development in between rounds though
Brent
Member
That loop current in the Gulf is already sending off alarm bells. I think most of the season will probably be August September like usual but something in July definitely wouldn't surprise me 
BHS1975
Member
And with the early persistent heat wave the water will be boiling.
Might be getting active in here soon
Brent
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Don't think they will make it across as climatology speaking its too early from that area, but who knows. How much SAL does everyone think they will erode?
Brent
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A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions could become conducive for gradual development of this
system by early next week as the disturbance moves westward at
around 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions could become conducive for gradual development of this
system by early next week as the disturbance moves westward at
around 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Downeastnc
Member
GFS and Euro seem to favor a Caribbean runner into central American, the CMC still bringing a cane into the Bahamas on track for the SE in what would be a much more interesting outcome.....but we all know how CMC versus Euro/GFS ends up.
Brent
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Holy ? at the Euro. It is pretty far south but the Euro also has a left bias but the strength alone is a ?
lexxnchloe
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If its going to be a hyperactive season thats the way to start it.Holy ? at the Euro. It is pretty far south but the Euro also has a left bias but the strength alone is a ?
weatherboyy
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this look like 2007 hurricane patterns .hmm
Brent
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Bonnie is next 
NoSnowATL
Member
Stop teasing me Brent!
Brent
Member
I can't remember the last time I saw agreement like this in June!
Also for June and that far east it looks great already
Also for June and that far east it looks great already
weatherboyy
Member
we have 94L
Brent
Member
June 27th guys...
Also the wave train in the eastern Atlantic is nothing short of insane for this time of year. These waves should be falling apart in June
Also the wave train in the eastern Atlantic is nothing short of insane for this time of year. These waves should be falling apart in June
Tornadocane
Member
There's like four or five tropical waves to keep an eye on.
Brent
Member
If this is any sign of peak season it's gonna be ugly