HSVweather
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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
HSVweather
Member
HSVweather
Member
HSVweather
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We might get a major before landfall
Brent
Member
Well that was quite a Euro run
lexxnchloe
Member
Yikes. that seems overdone i hope.
Brent
Member
It's definitely an outlier but bears watching
Gonna be a hard year for the SE this hurricane season!
Shaggy
Member
0z was a New England weenie run
Brent
Member
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Tropical Storm Agatha
from the eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the
area, this system could become a tropical depression while it moves
northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern
Gulf of Mexico late this week. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the
Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next few days,
spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida
Keys by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Tropical Storm Agatha
from the eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the
area, this system could become a tropical depression while it moves
northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern
Gulf of Mexico late this week. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the
Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next few days,
spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida
Keys by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Oh if only the NAVGEM was a reputable model 
Brent
Member
Code Red
Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the
eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,
this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it
moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Thursday or Friday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize
during the next couple of days, spreading across western Cuba,
southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys
and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the
eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,
this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it
moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Thursday or Friday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize
during the next couple of days, spreading across western Cuba,
southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys
and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
DeeeeTeeee seems alarmed!! Don’t know if that’s good or bad!?
I have heard that they made adjustments to it last year because of it so not sure if the underperforming bias is there this year.
Tornadocane
Member
This is the Florida Doom version of our fantasy storm. Would expand my lake all the way into the kitchen.
Downeastnc
Member
GFS obliterates the west coast of Florida 12Z today....
