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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

In other news the GFS is trying to show something forming in the Caribbean from a storm in the EPAC that then threatens the east coast but again out in fantasy land. The Euro also shows something in the Gulf so maybe there's a little more support for something this timegfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_41 (1).pnggfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_44.png
 
GFS popped a home grown ( not one-e) in the Bahamas in the long range at 18Z that skirts the OBX as a TS at least....

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_56.png
 
NHC starting to talk about it now on the Atlantic side

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southern part of the Bay of Campeche by the middle of next week.
Afterward, some gradual development is possible while the system
drifts generally eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.two_atl_5d0 (1).png
 
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