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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

Not as excited now.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_47.png
 
An area of low pressure is expected to develop by the middle part
of this week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it drifts generally
northwestward off the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...20 percent.
 
Brent said:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop by the middle part
of this week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it drifts generally
northwestward off the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...20 percent.
Click to expand...
Last couple of gefs runs has this storm further north in the gulf. Something to watch
 
weather bubba said:
I know it's early to be looking at the Atlantic but what does the Sahara dust flow coming off Africa look like? It seems that in recent years it has put a cap on early development in the Atlantic.
Click to expand...

There's some right now but that's very typical this time of year. It usually decreases towards August which ironically coincides with when the real season starts. You can still see development in between rounds though
 
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