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Misc 2021 Spring/Summer Whamby Thread

GaWx

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What's with the slight westward shifts from one run to the next one for seemingly most runs of most models? Then there will sometimes be a larger east shift before the small westward shifts restart. I suspect some of this is related to cold biases. But for the early April cold, it didn't really do this and the models did great.
 

SD

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What's with the slight westward shifts from one run to the next one for seemingly most runs of most models? Then there will sometimes be a larger east shift before the small westward shifts restart. I suspect some of this is related to cold biases. But for the early April cold, it didn't really do this and the models did great.
Models are really really bad at the Pacific and ridging along the west coast. This is very similar to the Feb Cold shot where the western ridge was originally modeled too far east.
 

Myfrotho704_

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Models are really really bad at the Pacific and ridging along the west coast. This is very similar to the Feb Cold shot where the western ridge was originally modeled too far east.
Shorter wavelengths to boot, +PNA now isn’t the same thing as a positive PNA in Jan
 

Myfrotho704_

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Yeah it's just weird how models at D7+ always have this perfect ridge to deliver eastern cold then it trends west in subsequent runs. I don't get it
Yeah and it’s all models that seem to do it, makes me wonder if models are maybe perhaps catching on the the lag effect in tropical forcing or something, since it’s not just a instant response, looks like the models have slowed the phase 6 progression a bit to
 

GaWx

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Yeah it's just weird how models at D7+ always have this perfect ridge to deliver eastern cold then it trends west in subsequent runs. I don't get it
I wonder if it is due to the near record warm western Pacific.
 

smast16

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College kids on spring break are soft these days. I haven’t seen a Bay County officer show up yet. I haven’t even seen boobies. Sad
These kids and their IPA beers on the beach. I rolled with a 3L Camelbak (Thanks Army!) full of vodka. Would walk around filling up drink cups and take sips straight from the hose. Cranberry was a chaser, not a mixer.

1617888848547.png
 

crecre9

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These kids and their IPA beers on the beach. I rolled with a 3L Camelbak (Thanks Army!) full of vodka. Would walk around filling up drink cups and take sips straight from the hose. Cranberry was a chaser, not a mixer.

View attachment 81540
That image takes me back. Never did want to fill it up with vodka though. I did have liquor shorts that i filled with whiskey and worse to some football games though.
 
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