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Misc 2021 Spring/Summer Whamby Thread

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Bruh
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What's with the slight westward shifts from one run to the next one for seemingly most runs of most models? Then there will sometimes be a larger east shift before the small westward shifts restart. I suspect some of this is related to cold biases. But for the early April cold, it didn't really do this and the models did great.
 
GaWx said:
What's with the slight westward shifts from one run to the next one for seemingly most runs of most models? Then there will sometimes be a larger east shift before the small westward shifts restart. I suspect some of this is related to cold biases. But for the early April cold, it didn't really do this and the models did great.
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Models are really really bad at the Pacific and ridging along the west coast. This is very similar to the Feb Cold shot where the western ridge was originally modeled too far east.
 
SD said:
Models are really really bad at the Pacific and ridging along the west coast. This is very similar to the Feb Cold shot where the western ridge was originally modeled too far east.
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Shorter wavelengths to boot, +PNA now isn’t the same thing as a positive PNA in Jan
 
SD said:
Yeah it's just weird how models at D7+ always have this perfect ridge to deliver eastern cold then it trends west in subsequent runs. I don't get it
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Yeah and it’s all models that seem to do it, makes me wonder if models are maybe perhaps catching on the the lag effect in tropical forcing or something, since it’s not just a instant response, looks like the models have slowed the phase 6 progression a bit to
 
SD said:
Yeah it's just weird how models at D7+ always have this perfect ridge to deliver eastern cold then it trends west in subsequent runs. I don't get it
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I wonder if it is due to the near record warm western Pacific.
 
NoSnowATL said:
College kids on spring break are soft these days. I haven’t seen a Bay County officer show up yet. I haven’t even seen boobies. Sad
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These kids and their IPA beers on the beach. I rolled with a 3L Camelbak (Thanks Army!) full of vodka. Would walk around filling up drink cups and take sips straight from the hose. Cranberry was a chaser, not a mixer.

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smast16 said:
These kids and their IPA beers on the beach. I rolled with a 3L Camelbak (Thanks Army!) full of vodka. Would walk around filling up drink cups and take sips straight from the hose. Cranberry was a chaser, not a mixer.

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That image takes me back. Never did want to fill it up with vodka though. I did have liquor shorts that i filled with whiskey and worse to some football games though.
 
New normals coming next month so we can feel better about our winters in the future. 1980s coming off the board!

NOAA’s Updated U.S. Climate Data Will Establish “New Normal”

Announcing the forthcoming 30-year Climate Normals from NOAA.
www.ncei.noaa.gov www.ncei.noaa.gov

In other news, Alaska is freezing and Fairbanks is forecasted for a low or -30F tonight.
 
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