• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical 2021 hurricane season thread

To get as far west as us you'd need something like this where the ridge center poking into the NE coast by its far enough north a system can gain latitude View attachment 85845

For the coastal scrapers you'd likely have the ridge farther SE and the trough closer over the main land and to get something that crosses the FL east coast into the gulf that ridge is typically centered near or over us
Ahh okay that’s a great explanation, thanks man. So for instance if 95L developed (would be on this blue dot) this look would favor a scraper? Or would this trough instill a more easterly flow and force a recurve
 

Attachments

  • C4C1074E-AD50-43D2-B4EB-058E401AA73D.jpeg
    C4C1074E-AD50-43D2-B4EB-058E401AA73D.jpeg
    995.1 KB · Views: 38
Ahh okay that’s a great explanation, thanks man. So for instance if 95L developed (would be on this blue dot) this look would favor a scraper? Or would this trough instill a more easterly flow and force a recurve

Would be hard to imagine that set up bringing much here but S fl and the FL gulf side would be in trouble. After that it would probably go ots. It would really depend on how wick quick the trough lifts and the subtropical ridge builds back. We would really have to wait to be honest since we have moving parts
 

This is not good.


Nor is the fact were ahead of last year technically...

You know if Elsa becomes a hurricane(questionable but not impossible) we'll be even more ahead of last year. Hanna was the first hurricane the last week of July
 
Here's a better one. Could be trouble for the NE.

33b2e4b17e4cf5276fa54cbd8736bb21.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Don't know if anyone has been paying attention, gefs has been showing a few frames of something coming up from the Caribbean into the gulf in the mid range. Anyone see that?
 
Screenshot_20210710-194521_Chrome.jpgMay not mean much, but this is the time frame I was talking about, something tries.
 
Back
Top