Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I put more faith in ensembles then the actually models. I used to be like you and hated the ensembles. But, I study them over last winter and ended liking them.

I agree they are helpful, but they are probably even more frustrating than operationals. When they give you a 5” snowfall mean 5 days out and you end up with a rain/snow mix and green grass it’s pretty damn frustrating and, to a degree, misleading

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Pretty predictable. Luckily it will be completely different in 6 hours. Its fine, all fine.

 

[TheBatman]

I agree they are helpful, but they are probably even more frustrating than operationals. When they give you a 5” snowfall mean 5 days out and you end up with a rain/snow mix and green grass it’s pretty damn frustrating and, to a degree, misleading

Just curious, how many times has that happened ??
I like to hear all prospection of weather. I guess that just the weather nerd in me.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Clipper parade after the storm miss. We know those dont ever work out.

Clippers only seem to work out when your winter has been a dumpster fire and Mother Nature is trying to suck you back in so you will visit the forums next winter..so yeah one of these 2” clippers might just work out this year

 

[Snowflowxxl]

I like the ensembles as well. I will say though back in the January 6, 2017 storm, every GFS member had me getting atleast 3 inches of snow and I never saw a flake.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Just curious, how many times has that happened ??
I like to hear all prospection of weather. I guess that just the weather nerd in me.

Once already this winter. And at one point I had a 4.5” snowfall mean for the 20th event..it happens every year. I used to get all giddy when the ensembles were upping my mean. Now I just get more skeptical but I will agree they are useful at 500 into the medium and “sometimes” long range

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

I gotta be honest, I was laughing for a few moments at the cold past hour 300. If in any way that's true, that's easily January 2014 type stuff.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

lol winter cancel for @Brent

 

[TheBatman]

lol winter cancel for @Brent View attachment 11190

Heck he will probably be happy about that. ?

 

[TheBatman]

No way I’m staying up for the 00z gfs . The letdown after the 18z run will be large .

Happy 00z hunting everyone


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Well you was right... ???

Score

Storm5 = 1
Dark Knight = 0

 

[Brent]

Heck he will probably be happy about that. ?

lol if its not gonna snow might as well

only got like 7 more weeks til its 4 years without a real snowfall here

lol more rainstorms for the east coast too

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Radar hallucinations or is that snow down a @pcbjr ‘s house?

 

[TheBatman]

lol if its not gonna snow might as well

only got like 7 more weeks til its 4 years without a real snowfall here

You gotta come back here or go to the mountains west of you. ???

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

FV3 was a decent hit. Mixing issues for everyone besides me Mack and Phil though

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

00z got me like:

And to translate for @Rain Cold

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

0Z GEFS. Still good View attachment 11195

See there’s another 5” snowfall mean for me..let’s see how much snow I get in the next 384 hours

 

[TheBatman]

See there’s another 5” snowfall mean for me..let’s see how much snow I get in the next 384 hours

Clock it and let us know how it comes out on February 1st. Good luck. ??

 

[GaWx]

Will that stupid idiotic cold be there on 1/21 like was the case for the 12Z Euro? I'm guessing it will be less stupid/smarter.

 

[GaWx]

Will that stupid idiotic cold be there on 1/21 like was the case for the 12Z Euro? I'm guessing it will be less stupid/smarter.

This King run is much less stupid.

 

[Shawn]

This King run is much less stupid.

I haven't looked at the Euro in a while, but was it spitting out something similar to the FV3 with the single digits a day or so ago? If so, ruh roh.