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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

Jeez wake up and see that the winter storm potential for NC has substantially dropped and I don’t see any more fantasy storms on the GFS anymore. I know it’s only the 10th of January but man it’s beginning to get frustrating
 
Robert West said:
Jeez wake up and see that the winter storm potential for NC has substantially dropped and I don’t see any more fantasy storms on the GFS anymore. I know it’s only the 10th of January but man it’s beginning to get frustrating
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I guess it’s a good thing the GEFS doesn’t agree with the op run.


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Robert West said:
Jeez wake up and see that the winter storm potential for NC has substantially dropped and I don’t see any more fantasy storms on the GFS anymore. I know it’s only the 10th of January but man it’s beginning to get frustrating
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Looking for the signs of a possible storm after 240 hours is just wasting your time. Too many things change run to run. That said, there is still a good storm signal on all models at 210-240 hrs.
 
Arcc said:
Looking for the signs of a possible storm after 240 hours is just wasting your time. Too many things change run to run. That said, there is still a good storm signal on all models at 210-240 hrs.
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But it gives you a good indication on where we are heading. I’m not looking for them so I can see them and bet the world it will happen, I’m looking for potential and as bad as the GFS is at coming into reality at that range, it’s good at showing long term potential past that range.
 
But really, I shouldn’t complain. I remember around this time in 2010. At that point it had been nearly 6 years since we had a winter storm in the Midlands and it was looking the same, not a lot going on. Then the beauty came in Feb 2010 and another small event in early March that year.
 
Most of us in the south are at least 14 days out for any pattern that could produce snow. Looking at the 06z GEFS, it looks like there is a grouping of patterns that could produce around that time. It's been like that for the past month and a half, so...it's probably not going to materialize this season. It's better to just resign yourself to the fact that most of MS, AL and GA will be snowless this winter.
 
weatherfide said:
Most of us in the south are at least 14 days out for any pattern that could produce snow. Looking at the 06z GEFS, it looks like there is a grouping of patterns that could produce around that time. It's been like that for the past month and a half, so...it's probably not going to materialize this season. It's better to just resign yourself to the fact that most of MS, AL and GA will be snowless this winter.
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I think you’ll be pleasantly surprised. There’s substantial cold coming to our side of the globe and it will come south


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weatherfide said:
Most of us in the south are at least 14 days out for any pattern that could produce snow. Looking at the 06z GEFS, it looks like there is a grouping of patterns that could produce around that time. It's been like that for the past month and a half, so...it's probably not going to materialize this season. It's better to just resign yourself to the fact that most of MS, AL and GA will be snowless this winter.
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Lol check the calendar my friend . January 10th, we will save your list and revisit it on March 15th


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weatherfide said:
Most of us in the south are at least 14 days out for any pattern that could produce snow. Looking at the 06z GEFS, it looks like there is a grouping of patterns that could produce around that time. It's been like that for the past month and a half, so...it's probably not going to materialize this season. It's better to just resign yourself to the fact that most of MS, AL and GA will be snowless this winter.
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I agree. Sadly, I can't remember a winter that we didn't at least see a dusting here where I am. Still hoping for something, it's not looking good though.
 
weatherfide said:
Most of us in the south are at least 14 days out for any pattern that could produce snow. Looking at the 06z GEFS, it looks like there is a grouping of patterns that could produce around that time. It's been like that for the past month and a half, so...it's probably not going to materialize this season. It's better to just resign yourself to the fact that most of MS, AL and GA will be snowless this winter.
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The next potential window of opportunity for someone on the board looks to be well before that, actually near January 20th, I discussed on the main January forum why the pattern will look at least a little favorable in this window with a nice -EPO developing next week as the Pacific jet finally relaxes a little and the SSWE directly imposes positive height anomalies near and north of Alaska.
 
I remember how mild 2015 was in the South up until Valentines' Day. No measurable snow hardly at all through mid-Feb for us, though we did have a minor ZR event and an Arctic outbreak. The last two weeks of February were frigid and action packed. In order for JB's prediction to verify (which I HIGHLY doubt it will) we would need a period like that.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Wow some of you guys are throwing in the towel already :rolleyes:. I'll admit I'm more pessimistic about this winter but I'm not near giving up yet. It's the 10th of January not the 30th.
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I believe someone said back in December that if things arent looking good by Jan 15, then its over. So we will see where we stand in 5 days.
 
metwannabe said:
That's insane....
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Hence my heavily sarcastic post haha. They have always been very quick to treat roads here.

I guess it’s the “better be safe than sorry” mentality which is probably the way to go. IF they didn’t treat and then it surprised us with ice Raleigh would be a disaster zone haha

But for now my 2000 f150’s underside will rust quicker with all this salt for nothing but a rain storm :(
 
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