SMH ...
This guy will be forecasting the next 2 months cold, until next October! Just pathetic
SMH ...
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
So are you saying that if snow was common in the south like rain is, people wouldn't get as excited every time it snowed ?If rain was as rare as snow you would!! Rain don’t excite......
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I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
So are you saying that if snow was common in the south like rain is, people wouldn't get as excited every time it snowed ?
Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
I love heavy rain. I like to sit on the porch and watch the rain come down. My guess is that these progged totals will end up being overdone on such a widespread basis, when it's all said and done. And I agree with what Shane said yesterday....I wouldn't be surprised if the axis of the heaviest shifts somewhat northward through time.
View attachment 15776
Why use a thousand when only one will do? Sucks.
VerificationFolks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
No one has ever made the accusation that yours truly is loquacious ...Why use a thousand when only one will do? Sucks.
We'll get the cold March (actually cold enough to support snow, not last year's crap fest of 36 and slop) and all the weather systems will get squashed, sheared. Mother nature has something against us.Folks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
I wish people got as excited about heavy rainfall as they did about snowfall. You would think with an epic rain event on the way this place would be booming.
Larry,Regardless, the good news is that the first week of March is still early enough that it can easily still produce wintry magic, even down to Phil's place!
Don’t mean to toot my own horn butFolks will like the 12Z GEFS as it has the weakest SER 2/24+. When was the last time I said something like that? As a result, the real torch ends 2/24 followed by back and forth that averages near normal 2/25-8 before it gets cold in early March. Also, a strong +PNA forms by 3/1 and going forward with some cross polar flow. In addition, a Greenland block is then in place and the -EPO remains. MJO forecasts have us around phase 1. So, in early March we'd have a +PNA/-EPO/Greenland blocking/MJO phase of 1 in a weak, Modoki El Nino. Winter lovers, what more could you ask for?
Rain snow mix for a week straight sounds miserable. Better than plain rain I guessIn case y’all were wondering, there can be patterns that lock in for 3-4 weeks and not be heatwaves and flooding!! Seattle View attachment 15765
SMH ...
I’m so sick of the useless analogs. I would give him so much more credit if he just said “guys idk anymore I used the tools I had but they steered me wrong”