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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

Storm5 said:
atlanta gets gets over 4 inches.

it wasn't a horrible run

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I just don't understand why the trend south with every run. Weaker s/w shouldn't have that much impact on the location of the low and less amplification should, if anything, bring it north.
 
It does look like the energy transfers to the Gulf of Mexico... I would expect a low developing over the Northwestern GOM or shortly after that and the low tracking along the Gulf Coast.
 
Reminds me of that year they said that we werent going to get any snow, and they were off by 100+ miles.
 
Maybe GaWx could chime in on this, but that low placement on this GFS run is pretty ideal for metro Atlanta area. It's pretty rare for Macon to get it better than Atlanta. A more amped up system is probably bad news for us ATL folks unless we time things perfectly, which is a crap shoot. Weaker Southern sliders are our friends in these parts.
 
JLL1973 said:
why does this thing keep trending south?. it will be headed for cuba before long.
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The models usually does go south with storms for 2-3 days just to eventually go back north.
 
Yeah, less and less here each run while the beach and further south get more.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Yeah, less and less here each run while the beach and further south get more.
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it's all good brick , you could build a snowman and a sandcastle :)

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Heavens, when these CMC maps come out my area is in the bullseye. Get ready CLT and further into NC here on the Carolina side.
 
12z GFS is a good hit for ATL metro, for sure, but it still suffers from warm 2m temperatures during the day on Saturday. Not sure how much accumulate that puts at risk.
 
Benholio said:
12z GFS is a good hit for ATL metro, for sure, but it still suffers from warm 2m temperatures during the day on Saturday. Not sure how much accumulate that puts at risk.
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no need to worry about temps 3-4 days out

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Shawn said:
Heavens, when these CMC maps come out my area is in the bullseye.  Get ready CLT and further into NC here on the Carolina side.
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is this an overnight or daytime event if you had to guess?
 
GaWx said:
Jackpot of 3-6": central MS to Montgomery to ATL (more in southern areas like Tony's), Athens, Columbus, Macon, Augusta, Columbia, Florence, Myrtle, ILM. Even El Kabong in Perry, GA scores a big one.
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I liked that it was giving us a nice slug across the central yesterday.  I like the trend.  It's been a long time since I beat out the airport, but it's happen quite a few times since I've been down here.  I'm pulling for El K!  A central Ga zinger is way over due.  Just hope when show time arrives it's still there and there is some sleet.  A big worry is the Atl stations have been on it now for two days, and the weather channel has a name for it....a kiss of death scenario in a lot of cases, lol.  Larry, you might want to head back, to help counteract these unwanted forces!!  T
 
Sounds like most folks think it will come NW on the GFS eventually. I think the same thing happened with the Christmas 2010 storm. Just a little disheartening seeing the good hits going further south and east right now.
 
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The 12z GFS has ZR almost down to the gulf coast. How realistic is that?
 
NForsythWX said:
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The 12z GFS has ZR almost down to the gulf coast. How realistic is that?
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It happens
 
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