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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

There's definitely more phasing with the northern stream even thru 18-24 HR... Given the northern shortwave currently over the Kamchatka peninsula that's progged to be over the Great Lakes by day 4, having more interaction here may not be as bad as some initially suspected yesterday
 
Storm5 said:
metwannabe said:
I love being just to the NW of the good stuff 4 days out
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3 days for some depending in location

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Yeah I know but for me it's 4 days and being NW of the sweet spot, depending on model of choice lol, is a great place

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Its not a fail run yet guys, but slightly more interaction so far.
 
Shawn said:
SnowFlowXXL said:
Shawn throwing that shade on the other board lmao love it
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Not my fault!   

I just wanted to tell everyone from the CAE area that the NWS introduced snow into the official forecast and while I'm not sure of the ptype or amounts, the Euro shifting a bit gives more credence to a Winter WX event as a whole. They can go ---- off if they want to delete that post.
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LOL!


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If this doesn't get sheared out, get ready for yet another big run for the SE. Wave is going to be stout if it survives.
 
The NS is moving slower but @ 36, it looks like our pacific shortwave is further west.
 
36 hr squash mode. but not lost yet.
 
About to break off in theory, but getting close to shear city.
 
There's more interaction with the northern stream thru, but again I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing in the long run for the deep south esp along/south of I-20, obviously once you get into the Carolinas, it's an entirely different matter as we'll have to keep tabs on yet another s/w in the northern stream...
 
Definitely not seeing a phase here. NS just interrupting our s/w but not destroying it.
 
FLO said:
Cad Wedge NC said:
FLO said:
Cad Wedge NC said:
whatalife said:
06z PARA
a58dae2e0d0015c2580793ea9d5b1baa.jpg
35ea9b58c53e8332b0c5add7d0214185.jpg



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Not saying that this thing comes north, but climo would argue against the rain/snow line being that far south. It has happened before and it will happen again. However, for those rooting for a more amped up storm closer to the coast, sadly, it will take many locations out of the game. I would love to see a board-wide dump, but someone will always be left out. At least we are not looking at the ZR accumulations that was modeled yesterday. One thing about miller A's, they have a small transition zone, unlike miller B's.
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Just bc of people on the other board, I wish most of NC would get shut out.
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Excuse me.... I have been on this board for quite a while, thank you. Comments like that will get you a lengthy time-out.
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I can't get timeout from that board for something I say on this board.
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Nope but you can get one here.....so be nice

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FLO said:
Just bc of people on the other board, I wish most of NC would get shut out.
Excuse me.... I have been on this board for quite a while, thank you. Comments like that will get you a lengthy time-out.

I can't get timeout from that board for something I say on this board.
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I was talking about a time-out on this board...... You do realize that there are folks on here that actually look at model trends and make calls based on past weather as well as current analysis. We really have some knowledgeable folks. Those of us that are truly in it for the intellectual gain, would never behave in such a fashion.
 
There will be another hit it looks like. Consistent GFS, but it is going towards a more sheared wave.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
FLO said:
Just bc of people on the other board, I wish most of NC would get shut out.
Excuse me.... I have been on this board for quite a while, thank you. Comments like that will get you a lengthy time-out.

I can't get timeout from that board for something I say on this board.
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I was talking about a time-out on this board...... You do realize that there are folks on here that actually look at model trends and make calls based on past weather as well as current analysis. We really have some knowledgeable folks. Those of us that are truly in it for the intellectual gain, would never behave in such a fashion.
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I wasnt being serious. Calm down.
 
If the threat is imminent, we are going to get more serious with posts. Calm down guys. Get along and help the site grow. Don't fight.
 
Certainly another hit.. But any differences are too subtle until we can see what the low does when it gets with the gulf.
 
Potent wave starting to drop South by hour 54.
 
Likely another weenie run incoming. Carry it home guys.
 
Uh oh.. The wave is starting to consolidate and a bit further west. Could be a monster.
 
There will be shearing at first, but once it drops down closer to the Gulf of Mexico, it will gain more energy.
 
So far what I've seen from modeling shows this beginning in my area just NE of BHAM around midnight friday or just thereafter. Hoping it will hold off until at least that long because I work the night shift this week and get off around 10:30/11:00.
 
Looks stronger at hr60 this looks like a bigger run than the 06z

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