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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

Looks like it's trending more towards zr for north ga based on GSPs discussion?
 
DustinWX said:
Looks like it's trending more towards zr for north ga based on GSPs discussion?
not according to this latest forecast 


zr_acc.us_se.png
 
Yeah I know the GFs doesn't show it, but they were mentioning that one model was showing 850s being to warm up to the 85 coordidor
 
Euro has -2 here Monday morning. Dayum

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SnowrockinGA said:
DustinWX said:
Looks like it's trending more towards zr for north ga based on GSPs discussion?
not according to this latest forecast 

This is not a forecast.  It's the latest run of one model, the GFS.  It has started trending north over it's past 3 runs.  Also, many other models, including the more reliable European model, has the ice/snow lines further north.
 
I would caution to look away from the 0z GFS-P... :sick: :sick:
 
72 hrs out and no agreement yet on temps and precip amounts. Frustrating
 
David in SW Blount said:
Olaf said:
Mannn. Bama gonna get screwed again. Maybe not. We still have time.

I had 5" in a big storm in 2014 and 7" in February 2015.  I figure I'll never see snow again in my lifetime!   :D :mad:

The last snow here was snowmegeddon that i recall.
 
MiddleTNWx said:
I would caution to look away from the 0z GFS-P... :sick: :sick:

Already been posted a page back. Not pretty.
 
Well I'm curious to see what the models show today.
 
Has the S/W started interacting with the NS yet?
 
There have been some shifts in the models but still leave us w/many unanswered questions.


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Now I'm getting emails for replies in this thread. I'm not subscribed to it. How do I stop the emails?
 
I will say I don't like seeing the gfs slooooowly warming each run. It won't take much to shut everyone out south of 20 and 85. I do think it will actually be colder than forecasted on the euro, but that high has to get out in front. Or this will be a glorified rain storm for the areas mentioned above.
 
whatalife said:
There have been some shifts in the models but still leave us w/many unanswered questions.


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agree . I'm still fine with where we sit currently
packfan98 said:
Now I'm getting emails for replies in this thread. I'm not subscribed to it. How do I stop the emails?


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Deltadog03 said:
I will say I don't like seeing the gfs slooooowly warming each run. It won't take much to shut everyone out south of 20 and 85. I do think it will actually be colder than forecasted on the euro, but that high has to get out in front. Or this will be a glorified rain storm for the areas mentioned above.


I was about to ask you; our energy needs to allow the cold air time to slip down here. FCC has a good map on their home page this AM basically illustrating that point.




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I was optimistic for a good event in the Atlanta area. But are chances are getting worse. I might call it a day for now unless it trends south.
 
Deltadog03 said:
I will say I don't like seeing the gfs slooooowly warming each run. It won't take much to shut everyone out south of 20 and 85. I do think it will actually be colder than forecasted on the euro, but that high has to get out in front. Or this will be a glorified rain storm for the areas mentioned above.


I good pt Chris and that would suck!


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whatalife said:
Deltadog03 said:
I will say I don't like seeing the gfs slooooowly warming each run. It won't take much to shut everyone out south of 20 and 85. I do think it will actually be colder than forecasted on the euro, but that high has to get out in front. Or this will be a glorified rain storm for the areas mentioned above.


I good pt Chris and that would suck!


i hope the cold air gets its act together!

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big eps improvement overnight

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Looks like Bama is gonna need colder air and more moisture.
 
I am just going to assume it will be a cold rain here in CAE unless I see something different. I have seen this song and dance all too often. I see Northern I77 up to Charlotte and 26 from Greenwood to GVL and SPTG getting buried and CAE getting the shaft with a cold rain or a dusting. The inevitable shift to the N/NW is making its move.
 
I'm exhausted! I love the clouds this mornin.
 
I think goofus comes more into reality on the 12z today.


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Storm5 said:
big eps improvement overnight

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yep, the mean surface low track is further north than GFS
 
Looks at all the Euro data 

As6GhVIWkic3C.gif
 
for atlanta, it is the cold air that is hurting us and not the low track? right?
 
Storm5 said:
big eps improvement overnight

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Photo's please
FLO said:
I am just going to assume it will be a cold rain here in CAE unless I see something different. I have seen this song and dance all too often. I see Northern I77 up to Charlotte and 26 from Greenwood to GVL and SPTG getting buried and CAE getting the shaft with a cold rain or a dusting. The inevitable shift to the N/NW is making its move.


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farleydawg79 said:
Storm5 said:
big eps improvement overnight

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For who?
in general . but it was a much better run for your area

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Spann says less than 1/2" for anyone in Alabama that does end up seeing snow....and he has that listed under "Things we know for sure".....wow!

From Spann:

IMPORTANT POINTS: Long time readers/viewers know I like to tell people what we know, and I don’t tell them what we don’t know. So… this is what we know this morning…

*Moisture over the northern half of the state will be pretty limited, so snow amounts, if any, will most likely be light, under 1/2 inch (if you see snow at all)."
 
I will say the 6z gfs looked better temp wise and maybe a but further south with the snow line. Today is the day I start leaning on the gfs and nam more than the euro. Only because we are starting to push out of the doc wheelhouse. Not saying ignore or stop looking at it, but usually we see the gfs and nam do better or just as good in the shorter range.
 
6Z snow GFS from WB - close up
e7e8987346ca51dd7c41bcea221390bf.jpg



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12z eps
ca2c250f9d8985f6c71eb23c23f00b50.jpg


00z
fbf483b577c824d7eccb85fdae66d19e.jpg


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DadOfJax said:
Spann says less than 1/2" for anyone in Alabama that does end up seeing snow....and he has that listed under "Things we know for sure".....wow!

. However models have backedoff much in the way of snow for yall. So I see why he made that general statement. I could see that happening as well. Models are starting to show a more late bloomer so that is possible.
 
Supershow said:
6Z snow GFS from WB - close up
e7e8987346ca51dd7c41bcea221390bf.jpg



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That is a little better.
 
EPS Members
11c9f17df87f39682ebe4d27e224820b.jpg

fc992df9b8240b0f539620b79dfbbda6.jpg



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