Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential

[Jessy89]

I assume y'all are referring to the energy transfer as the LP transfers from the Gulf to the Atlantic?

That transfer could keep a lot of people out of snow.


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[Showmeyourtds]

That transfer could keep a lot of people out of snow.


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Exactly- western areas would be in better shape but most of GA & perhaps some of the Carolinas might have issues

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Icon has that wave over cali try to close off, probably won’t be a good run

 

[Jessy89]

Exactly- western areas would be in better shape but most of GA & perhaps some of the Carolinas might have issues

This isn’t the storm for my area of upstate sc. and northeast Georgia. I’ve seen before as moisture moves in it all of a sudden dissipates before re organizes around Columbia to the coast and across eastern nc to the coast.


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[GeorgiaGirl]

Surprisingly on ICON at least on the frames that loaded, that wave over California doesn't seem to interact much with the wave we're looking at.

 

[Snowed In]

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
449 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-221000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
449 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.


.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Lows in the 20s across most the area with waning winds will
produce winds chills in the teens for most of the forecast area
and even the single digits in the far northeast where a Wind Chill
Advisory is currently in effect.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Light showers will be possible late Tuesday Night as warm moist
air returns to the region. These showers combined with overnight
low temperatures has a small chance for producing light freezing
rain in the NE GA mountains. The main storm system is currently
expected to move through Wednesday afternoon through Thursday
morning ahead of a strong cold front with a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the early evening. If precipitation lingers after
the cold air moves in, a shot for some light snow may be possible
Thursday morning.

Afterwards, the next impactful storm system will be possible
Sunday night through Sunday with a chance for some winter weather,
however, confidence is still low given limited agreements in model
guidance.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yep wave off cali is not interfering much, hmmm

 

[whizrtr]

BMX:

Another thermally-induced surface high pressure slides through the region Friday afternoon through Saturday as the next clipper system dips through the Central Plains. Current timing of this system brings the increased PoPs in as early as Saturday evening into the night. This will be a system that we`ll have to watch for any winter precip as most guidance does suggest some transition line in the precipitation. However, there`s not too much consistency in the
precise timing, location, or orientation of the transition line. Plus, this is 6-7 days out and I have little confidence in the fine details of model guidance this far out. For now, I do have a chance for rain and/or a slight chance of winter precip mentioned for roughly the northern half of Central AL Saturday night through early Sunday morning, but I do expect this forecast to change.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

ICON looks like a freaking hurricane again. Also seems as if the energy transfer already looks to be happening, so this one might be a no too.

 

[RollTide18]

ICON looks like a freaking hurricane again. Also seems as if the energy transfer already looks to be happening, so this one might be a no too.

Yeah the cold air is quickly retreating, per the ICON.

 

[Mitch West]

I feel like if this works out, itll work for Central NC to Eastern NC with very marginal temps. Probably dumping snow at like 35 degrees. I think people in SC would be to warm. But who knows really. Would hate to waste this storm track. We really need to find some cold air somehow.

 

[Fountainguy97]

Hr 126 the gfs is definitely trending toward fv3.

 

[Storm5]

The energy is so far SW

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[Myfrotho704_]

Western ridge getting better on the gfs

 

[tennessee storm]

The energy is so far SW

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Look for a north trend ? Maybe. We see

 

[Chattownsnow]

nothing showing on the surface this run at all. bone dry

 

[mydoortotheworld]

GFS surface temps much warmer. Big yikes

Edit: Jesus by 144 they’re practically on fire

 

[Jessy89]

If Gfs,Fv3, euro all show nothing today. What would that tell us?


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[Tarheel1]

The energy is so far SW

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The PV is farther West as Kylo said to watch this morning, leaving room for mor W track

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Honestly the GFS looks like it's about to try to spark something, probably will be late though.

And yeah, compared to the last run it's much warmer early in the morning.