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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

GFS looking better but I would shift 50miles East and that’s prob our outcome. Snow chances around Raleigh east
 
Thoughts?

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2nd wave 0Z GEFS member SLPs: there are some interesting members well offshore. Anyone have the precip for these members? Hours around 120-132

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RDU goes from 27 degree snow at the start to 25 degree snow in the thick of it to 23 degrees at the end … high ratio snow with arctic air moving through afterword verbatim .. and this is being show under 100 hours now .. still the gradient could easily move SE or NW but you’re not going to move that surface cold air for many
 
With how the precip comes in I think the biggest snow winner would be north/east NC into south-east Virginia. Raleigh still in game tho but better be careful on any east trends I could see sharp west to east gradients in precip shield
 
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