bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Interestingly enough, this run doesn't depict a full phase. It took a big step in that direction but didn't fully phase. A full phase would put areas further NW more in play, including those in GA.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Stephenb888
Member
I know this has potential, but there’s still ALOT of questions. Which makes me curious as to why Chris Justus is already honking the horn on this one with so much time left. I’m guessing just piggybacking off of the most recent storm to keep ratings high?
A Cuba low is what we want 96+ hrs out with the trailing wave, back to basics…
Gefs looks far better 
6z should be get the job done. Massive change from 18z to 12z. Euro leading the way with this one. Would be nice to see a compromise to get place like RDU in the snow this time though
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Note the WAR or absence of it on gfs run
I'm not so sure it's caving to the euro. NAM isn't setting up quite like the euro. Let's see the CMC
Snownut
Member
I think by time this one is done the Whole upstate gets the Snow with this one. I know this sounds like wishcasting, but you can bet this things is pulling NW!
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bouncycorn
Meteorologist
brendan123
Member
H5 looks much worse on the GEFS than the past 3 runs (At least in terms of where the 540 line is set up in NC)
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Lots of good members NW
Whatever WAA or what not is coming .. it don’t matter .. a big winter storm is about to go down for many in the SE
accu35
Member
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You got a map further west?
mydoortotheworld
Member
Am I having dejavú? It feels like we went back in time to the 12z Jan 15th runs
Where you gotta hope that the GFS is locked in and other models trend toward it but, yeah that’s a long shot.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
It was the 18z from the 15th.
This may be the case, with the only difference being the WAR being stronger, so there's more mixing issues.
The thing that's too bad is that the GEFS is likely wrong, as that's a solid run.