packfan98
Moderator
Much warmer run on the 18z euro too.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
This was about to basically be a damaging ice storm from I-20 to I-40 with cold air wedging in at the same time, y’all want amping up trends, y’all got it !! Western Atlantic ridge style 
850s only support snow in the mountains and maybe some northern counties this run
2” of snow here this run.
A ice storm isn’t gonna be escaped with a 1042 high pressure parked to our North feeding in a very cold/dry airmass 
Snownut
Member
When you say that, what areas are you speaking of?
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Also going to depend on how fast that it can get into that position and feed the cold.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I’m sorry but how exactly is that an ice storm? Literally looks like a perfect set up to me
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Just my opinion as I look at this run:
I think it would’ve been a massive snow to sleet storm between 85 and 40 with damaging ice east of say 95 to almost the immediate coastline in NC with freezing rain roughly south of a line from Anderson to Lancaster in SC down to a line from Aiken to Manning-ish.
I think it would’ve been a massive snow to sleet storm between 85 and 40 with damaging ice east of say 95 to almost the immediate coastline in NC with freezing rain roughly south of a line from Anderson to Lancaster in SC down to a line from Aiken to Manning-ish.
It’s not, to much western Atlantic ridging is nosing in a warm nose aloft, maybe we can get it to back off, but most of the time, it gets stronger until go time, soundings around us seem more supportive of IP tho on the euro
Snowflowxxl
Member
This is why you want it in Cuba and beat down until hour 48. 96 hours is wayyyy to much time and as you can see we now have an amped up beast that will leave 85% of GA rain for the majority. Idk how people still worry about storms being suppressed after years of this stuff.
In order to counter act that WAR issue, we need stronger northern stream energy/press on top of the NE, the only thing is that makes it slightly harder for our N/S to tilt back west, but I’ll take anything to stop this WAR from killing this setup 
It feels like a potentially colder version of last weekend.
Snowflowxxl
Member
We went from precip in the mid 20s to 38 degree rain in a matter of 36 hours. Don’t ever tell me again that there’s not enough time for something to trend poorly.
Just out of curiosity… where the 850s are 1-2c, can those not be cooled just enough with enough forcing and lift?
Showmeyourtds
Member
Is it warmer due to the lack of cold push or due to the change in the strength of the LP?
Jessy89
Member
To be honest way euro temps are trending. A rain event for a lot of people can’t be ruled out. The ridge can’t be underestimated
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Trust me those 20s were coming for you that wedge boundary was flying south on the euro
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
The upper shortwave hasn't made it close enough by hour 90. There would be a changeover after this frame on this run.