The Canadian did a really good job at modeling the warm nose.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Yes, but the northern stream seems to be lifting north by the western Atlantic ridge.
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bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Anyone know how the Chinese model usually does? It looks really nice lol.
Stephenb888
Member
No matter how the models play out, is the best we can expect from this is a small event? Or is there potential for a big event? Big snow?
Everything is on the table.
People don’t want to hear it but it did pretty good last event, especially at the surface
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Definitely potential for a big.. or even huge event.
However the GEFS has way less QPF and has more suppressed look at the sfc
I will never take the American model seriously with how it preformed in the last event but I guess we can’t turn a complete blind eye to what it’s showing
Snownut
Member
No but I will be really surprised if it's not on board with EURO tomorrow
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Can someone explain what a meso high is and if it's more conducive to form where there is a higher snow pack? Also, can this allow more IP vs. ZR if it forms? The Euro puts a high in VA which would be the location I would expect to see such a feature.
brendan123
Member
GFS went from this at 6Z to this at 18Z. 12Z was about in the middle in the two. While the operational models are very different from each other, both the GEFS and EPS have had the highest axis of snow streching from I-95 on the VA-NC border towards SE Virginia. 
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
This is the ICON-ensemble for Atlanta. Lots of members showing precip during the day Friday. Not sure on ptype but gives temps in the 30s.
Check this out.. if you go to the weather.us site and put in your location it will bring up a forecast menu that will let you select all kinds of different stuff... forecast XL will break down the model output and type of weather PER model that you select
Hard to explain but it's pretty awesome of a site when drilled down that deep into it
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
This is ICON-ensemble for Florence SC, many members showing precip Friday with temps below freezing.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Yeah they have a lot of nice tools. Seems like a lot is missing too though like icon ensemble display maps, GEFS map capabilities, etc.