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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

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RGEM trended exactly like the NAM. Worse with the southern stream but further SW with the northern stream and it’s forcing a phase
 
ryan1234 said:
If the NAM is proven to be correct WOW, just WOW. GSP would obviously break some records with this being their 2nd 6-inch+ snowfall in less than a week. CLT-RDU would finally break their snow drought. I mean, this is just weather porn. Just wish we could be a little less amped so that way this won't strictly be a climo storm. Would love to guarantee folks a good 50 miles south of 85 wouldn't be another sleet fest.
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Would be awesome for us. Remember that, despite this past storm, the Upstate is long past due for a good year. Once very common, GSP has not recorded more than 10 inches in a season since 1992-1993; looong time! Even though there were some good patterns in years like 02-03, 09-10, 10-11, and 13-14, most of the upstate seemed to find ways to skip, min, or mix its way to mediocre and minor events. Virtually everybody else along the I 85 corridor from N Atl to CLT, to RDU and even Greenville NC has fared way better. Maybe this will be our year.
 
Webber speaks and the Raleigh crew won’t like it

 
Storm5 said:
Nam Keeps expanding the NW precip shield


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Precip wise, I would hang in there if I were in central/north MS/AL/GA. Many have commented on it, but models do tend to miss on the NW side if we get something closer to the NAM/RDPS especially. This is from the EPS Ens Mean - shows a strengthening subtropical jet stream with the right front region of the jet propagating across the south (right, front region = upper level divergence, helps with lift for precip)

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griteater said:
Precip wise, I would hang in there if I were in central/north MS/AL/GA. Many have commented on it, but models do tend to miss on the NW side if we get something closer to the NAM/RDPS especially. This is from the EPS Ens Mean - shows a strengthening subtropical jet stream with the right front region of the jet propagating across the south (right, front region = upper level divergence, helps with lift for precip)

VIkPHgs.gif
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With most storms associated with the subtropical jet stream, they tend To be further NW/be more juiced
 
frank ocean said:
the gradient over wake county on the NAM is just so unsettling, it's making me nauseous and my eye is twitching, pretty sure the #1 programmer of that godforsaken model is albert hitchcock
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There will be many more runs of the NAM so we'll have to see where it slides. Doubt it will stay exactly where it is.
 
Us same folks North of 85 in upstate that just got 6", looks to get hit with that much again. Hard to believe we are talking 2 big hits within a week of each other

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