packfan98
Moderator
Especially with the track of that low. I agree.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Cary_Snow95
Member
The model discrepancy is laughable. We legit can start throwing the NAM in here in another 2 or so cycles
griteater
Member
Euro 850 low track and temperatures
Yeah, where and when 850s are between 0 and +2, much of that would likely be sleet rather than ZR imo.
Cary_Snow95
Member
For the euro tho. Gfs is completely the opposite directionI was being sarcastic when I said this would end up in Cleveland....??
Deja vu to yesterday. This is is what the snow maps looked like 5 days out for yesterday.
Very marginal event here, might crack 33 
So on the GFS I have over 1" of FZRA and the EURO I have .10" of ZR and a ton of cold rain. Good luck figuring it all out, but I feel like the main wind of Friday to Saturday now? Also, if that High can get a bit further in place quicker then super all hell could break loose.
Timing wise; 12z Euro wants to actually start the event with precipitation falling out of the sky post frontal passage at hour 90. So ..... that puts us around 2 AM EST Thursday Night/Friday Morning
SnowNiner
Member
Euro 850 low track and temperatures
Thing always wants to run through clt. Need that to go more west to east to our south.
packfan98
Moderator
Well, it's a little frustrating and fascinating at the same time to have such cold surface temperatures, a decent low track, and the snow is still confined to NW of I-85. To have two major events in a week with precip falling in the low 20's is very rare in the SE.
I got about 2.5" of pure sleet yesterday. This could be similar if it's anything close to what the Euro just showed.
I got about 2.5" of pure sleet yesterday. This could be similar if it's anything close to what the Euro just showed.
Euro 850 low track and temperatures
I am sure I am wishcasting here, but still am puzzled why 850s are that warm with a 1042 high over New York. I cannot remember ever seeing that before with such a huge difference with the cold surface and 925 temps.
How about dews?
Parker
Member
Close for some of us back west
Stormlover
Member
euro
It’s not climo bro 
Extra strong wedge? More contrast between lowest levels and 5K altitude.
Lol we looking like a warmer version of Texas last February