brendan123
Member
Hmmm where have we seen trends like this before
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Hmmm where have we seen trends like this before
850s?
Surface temps won’t be the issue
Cary_Snow95
Member
There’s a very reasonable way to trend to colder 850s with this look 
The ice accumulation map has to be absurd
When you realize the only model/ensemble that basically has the big separation issue is the model that has a known progressive bias
wow
Member
850 temps stay below freezing N of 85 in NC for the duration
Seeing how yesterday’s modeled Ice/sleet turned out to be a lot of snow for many, I am very excite. To have another one lining up with 6” of snow on the ground back at home is what we all hope for every winter but only get a handful of times throughout our entire life.
SnowNiner
Member
Yeah, VA centric storm. I don't buy it. Not that much amp, and that much of a phase. Euro seems to be by itself on that. Weird saying, but I'm discounting it in my mind at the moment.
Yeah, there's no way very much of that is ZR. 70% of that is sleet.
griteater
Member
Anything and everything can happen with this one.....the GFS is nothing close to this
Stormsfury
Member
Models still throwing around energy like a bunch of drunks throwing dollar bills at the strippers at the poles...
Question is how much of a push the arctic front has and obviously the sharp temp gradient once said boundary pushes offshore before the energy pulls in.. overall setup suggests especially with arctic highs in the Midwest and in the NE SHOULD be sufficient enough to drive the boundary enough that coastal locals should be in play too.. IMHO
Question is how much of a push the arctic front has and obviously the sharp temp gradient once said boundary pushes offshore before the energy pulls in.. overall setup suggests especially with arctic highs in the Midwest and in the NE SHOULD be sufficient enough to drive the boundary enough that coastal locals should be in play too.. IMHO
iGRXY
Member
Euro is exceptionally close to more snow than ice based on H5
packfan98
Moderator
Do you have the sleet map?
That's likely a huge freezing rain event for many of us. 850s are too warm for snow or even sleet,but sureface tempertures are cold enough for damaging ice.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Flatten the southern stream energy and get it scooped up without stretching it. That would be ideal
brendan123
Member
Warning shots, a few more shifts NW would not be good
Snowflowxxl
Member
My main takeaway is the models are still all over the place and not to get too attached to any said solution. 850s will be problematic though