packfan98
Moderator
Top analog. Looks reasonable.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Stephenb888
Member
Just glancing at this page for the first time. Seems like this won’t have much if any affects at my location or much of upstate SC. Looks like a NC, VA kind of setup. Could be wrong though, as I was yesterday.
CMCE, normally I wouldn’t trust that ZR output given it’s cold bias but the shallow cold
Looks legit with this setup anyways, some
Members actually have where the first and second wave works
Looks legit with this setup anyways, some
Members actually have where the first and second wave works
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Just stop. You said the same thing about this last system and you got a good bit. I think you’re definitely in the game.
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Any chance that both miss with just a sliver of the Far East being impacted? This is serious cold I see I believe there won’t be much moisture involved for most on the board.
Nobody on the planet knows for sure what’s going to happen. The 12z trends are for less phasing with the first threat. That could continue in coming cycles or could reverse. Just have to let it play out.
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dsaur
Member
You can get a cut off low out west that spits out impulse after impulse into a split flow. Good times.
brendan123
Member
DT is in
Gawx speacil
Thanks for noting this, which would be a dream come true! I wish that were really snow on the GA/SC coast. However, I just looked at 850s and they’re above 0C (starting at +4C and ending near +1C). So, that would actually likely be ZR changing to IP late with probably little snow at most. It had 0.25” liquid equivalent here. So, Pivotal clown maps (at least UKMET) count all wintry precip as snow.
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DT does not forecast for NC and SC tho. @BIG FROSTY do you believe he is including mount Airy in this broad state wide storm?
I’m liking this euro run
The CMC/ICON/Euro are very close with the northern stream placement at this hour while the GFS is the most fast and progressive, and it’s not even by much either, I like the agreement here, we just need to see how the southern stream plays out as that’s the struggle as well 
Looking ahead to these prospects, I am rooting for @GaWx and those in that area to see some frozen precip. I was hoping/expecting a lot more than what we received in Jasper yesterday, barely even a dusting and only in the last wave early evening.
But the prospects for a generational event for those folks would be very enjoyable to follow and I am wishing them all the best.
Yesterday was great for most of the board ... but am rooting for those of you who may be able to get in on some action. Good luck!
But the prospects for a generational event for those folks would be very enjoyable to follow and I am wishing them all the best.
Yesterday was great for most of the board ... but am rooting for those of you who may be able to get in on some action. Good luck!
SnowNiner
Member
Yeah, I agree with this. Somebody's getting something frozen this weekend in the Carolinas. However I will say depending on energy in the SW ejecting and phasing at just the right time with the northern stream is 9/10 times not working out IMBY. Never seems to eject, mainly hangs back, but we'll see.
If I had to guess right now, I'd guess some weak, late blooming wave will favor eastern NC somewhere. Kind of what the UK shows now.
The problem is that S/W around the PNW entering in 
wow
Member
Euro's barking real good .. the southern wave is stronger at 72
The N/S energy in SE Canada/NE is hanging on longer/looking slightly stronger 
