brendan123
Member
Didn't go any further northwest than 12Z and was definitely less northwest than 18Z was gonna be
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
With this exact look we might get some sleet .. but good lord it certainly changes to freezing rain at some point .. we start really flaming here but right after this is when 850s crash and we get a back deform band .. sick stuff
Snownut
Member
Big Snowstorm north devastating ice storm South
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This should be final totals for everyone. Pretty nice hit for a lot
Flo
Member
Poor CAE and Aiken ?
Long long long duration event. Oop
accu35
Member
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Crossing Fl was NW vrs 12z. It’s cool cause it was a great run for y’all
Add this in addition and it would be totally devastating for East central and Eastern North Carolina.
brendan123
Member
At least the ugly northwest trend seems to have stopped, snow totals increased on the southeast edge from 12Z
Snowflowxxl
Member
The ice map is literally maxed out ?
Lows on Sunday morning. Yeesh. What an epic pattern
Honestly we are edging back to where Sunday 0z was. H5 is not far from that glory run at all, although it definitely benefits us in the west more than the east.
Major winter storm for a lot of folks!
Clearly we are dealing with a high precipitable system here .. has the potential to unload precip at will .. in temps like that? Depending on dynamic issues that we will fine tune with short range guidance .. this is either going to be a heck of a lot of snow or a heck of a lot of ice .. most likely some of both .. insane the amount of precip we’re working with .. and with well below freezing temperatures
I’d bet the NW trend with the system continues. That said as was said earlier in this thread, an earlier phase and tilt would mean a more NW track, it would also pull in colder temps and may snow farther south.
Last 3 euro snow maps. I mean that’s pretty consistent. Some of you near Raleigh might argue with me though 
Crazy that the mountains could get 2 feet + total within a week if you count last storm. Who is booking the Southernwx cabin?
The snow line is extending back more SE now (per this run). Hoping that is a trend that continues, so folks can deal with less FzRn issues. That ice map is a troubling sight.Last 3 euro snow maps. I mean that’s pretty consistent. Some of you near Raleigh might argue with me though
Shaggy
Member
Gotta hope the EPS shows a less amped mean and less warming at 850 or someone in the eastern carolinas will be lights out.
Flo
Member
I’ll be in Hendersonville the 28th-29th. So it’ll prob sunny that weekend ?
dsaur
Member
Sleet would be much better, but you have no hills
Climo says it's a hundred year event for crippling ice, at least...but it might be a 200 year event, so you are safe. Let's go with that. I'd like you to get a 78 event, because those are so awesome, but it's dancing close to the destruction machine, so rain is much safer, with no hills to enjoy the sleet on. This looks like a classic....but classic what?
Here’s the Euro control 
Chance of over 0.8" of snow.. EPS
Here are the EPS panels. Kind of all over the place which is not that surprising
Can see our system fueling up on the gulf coast on the MMFS. 
Precip pushing north! 
accu35
Member
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Is there a temp map?
just don't shut us out down here in Mid GA like usual ok....lol
so, GFS looked meh...
Ukie looked amazing
EURO was warmer, but still better overall synoptically (bit further south) so nice trends I think.
I'll have more MMFS frames a little later. When I started it, I accidentally only set it to run out to 6z on Friday. The precip appears to be progressing very well into the cool air and setting up great. Just restarted the same run but thru the end of the day Saturday. Shouldn't take too long to get back where it was. In the mean time, i'll add a surface 32 degree line to the composite.
Wow! Freezing rain accumulating by 12z Friday.
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removed counties so it's cleaner.. Holy smokes!
Clem282340
Member
Anyone north of that red line is snow correct and anyone south of red line in Georgia and sc is freezing rain or sleet
Generally speaking, yes
ZR... WOW!