Hypsometric
Member
Safe to say the UKMET ratios were a little higher than 10:1. 
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
I'm a huge fan of 5 inches of snow, but not a huge fan of this big NW jump. Ugh.
Canadian also had a freezing rain event for NOLA and a sleet storm from Lake Charles back around to south of Corpus.
Ehh I get the NW worries but safe to safe moisture is the issue not temps. For many on the current event, rates were the issue. Gotta need moisture for snow let’s hope it banks up to the blue ridge but I wouldn’t go higher than 20% but Raleigh east maybe closer to 30%
How does this current modeled setup compare to the one that brought the big snow to Charleston SC 4 years ago? Similar?
Don't we still want the Models, espically the GFS and UKMET to still be suppressed around this timeframe? From what I remembed,the Ukmet was way too far south with this past system and the GFS usually has South/eastern bias,espically around after the 72 hour timeframe. Even more with overrunning sort of setups.
Very similar setup. However, the 50/50 low didn't break down, so the storm couldn't move very far inland.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Current model depictions & trends look a lot like how the models looked 120 hours out from the December 2017 snow event.. FWIW..
This setup looks far far colder as well, to get more involved
Just a quick note about the inevitable NW trend… we all know to fear it, respect it, and expect it… it’s gonna happen 95% of the time with our storms. I will say though that in the set ups that we’ve seen with this being more of a low developing along the Arctic front and with the airmass that the models appear to be in good agreement on, that 48 hour NW trend may not be as big as what we’re use to seeing. What may be very real though in this set up is models correcting with the northern and western extent of the precip during the last 36-48 hours as these always see the precip shield end up much further expansive to the north and west of the low.
Very very close.
Absolutely beautiful 
Snowflowxxl
Member
We need Larry to bring it home on the Euro run tonight ??
I hope the cold air aloft is deeper because the CMC and it’s ensembles want to knock power out for a big chunk of us.
Cary_Snow95
Member
EUro still holding back
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Energy in SW US is far more robust so far on ECMWF.