Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

[Hypsometric]

those temps View attachment 106854View attachment 106855View attachment 106856

With 15:1 ratios I guess we can afford a little less qpf

 

[Broken024]

Too early to see how nam is treating energy late in run?

 

[Hypsometric]

Too early to see how nam is treating energy late in run?

I’m assuming since it get’s it’s boundary conditions from the GFS, it’s going to be similar to it so until the energy is sampled it may not differ much.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

I like this NAM run a lot more

 

[Ollie Williams]

Too early to see how nam is treating energy late in run?

The NAM is much better, much more in line with the big dog setups!

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

I like this NAM run a lot more View attachment 106862

Kiss of death over northern Texas lol

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

That doesn't include today's does it??

YES! SADLY SO!?

 

[Hypsometric]

I’m assuming since it get’s it’s boundary conditions from the GFS, it’s going to be similar to it so until the energy is sampled it may not differ much.

The NAM is much better, much more in line with the big dog setups!
View attachment 106863

Either I have no clue what I’m talking about or the 18z GFS is about to be a lot better. 50/50 chance lol.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

It’s never to early to look at the NAM ???

 

[Cary_Snow95]

It’s never to early to look at the NAM ???

Well the energy in question comes into view around hour 60. Def worth looking at

 

[Ollie Williams]

This would have pulled a big dog had it continued.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Can you spot the difference?

 

[Hypsometric]

View attachment 106864This would have pulled a big dog had it continued.

Agreed. It looked better than the CMC!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Just changed to some snow/sleet here in Mooresville. Kinda surprised


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[Arcc]

The good news is we can win this one with a Miller A or with the very deep cold air, overrunning.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Agreed. It looked better than the CMC!

It looks almost identical to yesterday's 12z Euro.

 

[Ollie Williams]

The good news is we can win this one with a Miller A or with the very deep cold air, overrunning.

Or both.

 

[Arcc]

Or both.

I would love a long term overrunning and then the second wave eject for a Miller A.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Tomer Burg likes our potential.

 

[Parker]

This is the ONE!