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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
At least we have the WPC!
Broken024
Member
Didn't cmc and half the gefs have the first energy
Snowflowxxl
Member
I’m perfectly fine with where things are at now. Those runs yesterday would have ended up in the mid south come verification
Was just about to post this .. hot dogs I love the look of that .. Brad going to have to talk about this one soon lol he loves using these from the WPC
Good news, I guess, Euro is still awful cold. 850 line running down to Savannah for several days. Just have to hope the flow backs west just a bit or we capture some of the energy, which is still very much doable.
I think all is well for sure, I like the potential.
Downeastnc
Member
MHX has spoken
Thursday Night
A chance of rain before 1am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain before 1am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Psalm 148:8
Member
- Joined
- Dec 25, 2016
- Messages
- 244
- Reaction score
- 429
After what was modeled for the first storm and how it’s turning out, …. I’ll believe anything!
As worse as it is, I know most of us would rather have this thing strung out than over amplified and NW.
From best I can tell, the first wave is I think on average weaker and east of the 0Z EPS mean but it still looks good as it is further west than the 12Z operational with a good number of members likely showing wintry for the SE. Then it appears there are some members with a second wave within a few days later. I don’t have the actual members to post.
SnowNiner
Member
I'll take strung out right now. I'll admit the irony of missing a storm south/east great worries me especially since the GFS leans that way and holds the energy back (was first on amplification of this storm). But I'll hope it just continues to dig, especially with that WAR off the coast. Below looks just about right. By Tuesday I'd like to have most of the ensembles showing the footprint of a piedmont threat.
Still looks good for the Midlands/NE SC, Eastern/Central NC and SE VA. I would've be more worried if the ensembles weren't still showing a storm signal or if the all of the operational runs were still showing a big storm.
I'll take strung out right now. I'll admit the irony of missing a storm south/east great worries me especially since the GFS leans that way and holds the energy back (was first on amplification of this storm). But I'll hope it just continues to dig, especially with that WAR off the coast. Below looks just about right. By Tuesday I'd like to have most of the ensembles showing the footprint of a piedmont threat.
If it showed a bomb we would be worried…shows a whiff we are worried. ?
SnowNiner
Member
I don't know what to root for! I guess over amped, it's gone. Under amped, still a great chance for a hit. Especially with WPC honking already I think that's pretty solid. Hopefully they don't see the afternoon runs and say....nevermind out to sea. lol.