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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

SD said:
It was really easy when it was thisView attachment 107250

Now it's thisView attachment 107251
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I’m not to concerned yet about this, models wanted to play with wave spacing with our last system with it separating and getting caught up with that low off cali, especially the euro and nam. this was very noticeable in the mid-short range around the day 4-5 window
 
7a67dc6044661cdd2e78172ec70184e3.jpg

With low like that ice wouldn’t be that far north. It would probably even be snow down to Lauren’s


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I'm supposed to be arriving in Jacksonville, NC by car. I will be coming up to that area through Augusta, GA, up I-95. Will my best bet for safe roads be to hug the coast with the current storm trends?
 
GaWx said:
With most models having the MJO within the circle, the chance of a major ATL ZR/IP is enhanced somewhat by climo as the last 9 in ATL had the MJO like that. That’s my biggest concern for them.
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Also, late January has had the highest frequency of major ZR at Atlanta since the late 1800s. Since 2000, 3 of the last 5 were in late January.
 
Philstorm91 said:
I'm supposed to be arriving in Jacksonville, NC by car. I will be coming up to that area through Augusta, GA, up I-95. Will my best bet for safe roads be to hug the coast with the current storm trends?
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We have no idea. Thank you for contacting SouthernWX your premier travel advisory website.
 
Just about logged in to say that the weekend setup honestly looked like a no to me as it honestly looked as if the energy was gonna be buried (but I'm on my phone and only looked at one energy map, I can't help myself).

Now I did to say that I'm confused. Which is it going to be, Friday or the weekend?

I don't see the high for the CAD with the weekend btw.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
View attachment 107258
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Slowly but surely the precipitation types are getting closer to what GEFS mean was doing with the last system as the OP GFS amped more and more with other modeling following. What I see this time around are other OP models amping before the GFS to an extent.

We actually have no idea what's going to happen and we are what? Approaching 90 hours out from the setup or even less?

The only sure thing looks like an arctic front coming through.. everything agrees there...
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
“weak Miller A”

I think we all know how that will end up 9/10 ?
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The GFS is splitting things up. I admit I feel okay with that look given how the GFS performed around this lead time last event. Can we just meet in the middle and have a nice Miller-A that gets the whole SE and up/ further off the coast for Eastern NC too? :(
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
Everyone worried about amping an hour ago. I’ve been concerned about this stretching out since yesterday. Euro starting to be on an island
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This last event had everything pulling away from the euro solution, and then the euro actually was more sane than the rest, and they ended up caving back to the euro if I remember correctly. I think it coincided with the system getting samplesd
 
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