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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

That's a fropa coming thru on Thurs for NC per NWS RAH.

edit: Per their afternoon discussion this will stall out stationary to the south where they expect a wave *could* form and move along it with snow to the north.
 
CaryWx said:
Does anyone really see a lost storm as these guys are talking about? I see it on the models. In variations of location and intensity of course but it's there. Strung out or not.
Click to expand...

The problem we been having the past couple of days is to many mby statements. We have anarchy going on on these forums now and it’s getting annoying. NOAA Chat is open.


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Birmingham NWS is totally discounting the next system.


LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0248 PM CST Sun Jan 16 2022/

No changes are needed to the mid week system with a weak southern
stream wave and surface front moving through the area. Cannot rule
out a few thunderstorms, mainly in the south Wednesday afternoon,
but strong or severe storms are not expected.

Looking toward the end of the week, dry conditions are expected
behind the exiting front through the end of the work week, as
models have trended drier with a shortwave on Friday. An arctic
airmass will spread across the eastern conus, bringing several
days of cold temperatures to Central Alabama. Highs will struggle
into the upper 30s to mid 40s areawide Friday and Saturday, with
lows in the 20s. A shortwave will dive southward Thursday night
into Friday, but will no longer have enough moisture associated
with it for precipitation. Will remove rain/wintry mix chances and
the mention of winter from the HWO for Friday. This could change,
and we might have to add it back into the forecast as models
refine a series of troughs and moisture return.
 
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