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Deleted member 609
Guest
Someone smarter than me.. the NAM looks to be in the camp of not holding back the energy? Or am I way off?
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
wow
Member
It holds it back but it's not far at all from the Canadian.. this happens every time.. does it stay or does it go?
Oh didn’t say it was minor, but it was on a smaller scale when compared to events like 1/1988 and 1/2011
I’m not familiar with that Feb 1979 storm there… I know about 10 days later was the President’s Day Blizzard that gave CLT, GSO, and RDU all double digit snow totals with much of the snow falling with temps in the lower teens2 of the top cips analogs for day 5-6.
2011 still keeps me up at night. ?
View attachment 107070View attachment 107071
brendan123
Member
Here's the setup for the Jan 2014 storm... some noticeable differences in the setup that we're looking at now but we have at least some of the same ingredients for late this week/this weekend
ICON trended NW. 
ICON was close.
Appears to be.
114 hours out on the first wave.. not much time to get a huge NW shift. May be the first coastal Carolinas /central GA snow event in a while.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Looks to me the GFS is not holding the energy back.
Precip starting to break out.
Incoming cold too cold ?
wow
Member
This works for me at this stage. Doesn't quite phase in but it trended back almost blowing up.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
This may be a miss on the GFS, but it's going to be closer, because so far, the energy doesn't get buried.
Edit: well, it wasn't a miss for parts of central GA, SC, and parts of NC, I'd take a solution like that, lol. Gonna be interesting to see what we have on Tuesday.
Edit: well, it wasn't a miss for parts of central GA, SC, and parts of NC, I'd take a solution like that, lol. Gonna be interesting to see what we have on Tuesday.
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brendan123
Member
Wow, this potential snow associated with the front on Thursday even before the two main weekend potential systems really crept up on me
Cary_Snow95
Member
That’s a nice trend on the gfs
Snowflowxxl
Member
GFS looks perfect to me. Couldn’t ask for a better spot at this stage
Perfect at this range. Absolutely perfect
-10 below West Virginia. 20s in NC. 12z Friday.
Hello
108 hrs from precip breaking out and the gfs did nail the last storm at this range. Weenie food for thought.
Dang!!
Not sold on the snow with the cold front, sure that will be a cold chasing moisture and those rarely work, however, absolutely love the changes with our energy and location of slp at this lead time. Anyone saying it's too far south/east/suppressed well you have the shortest memory in the existence of all mankind.
So much cold air. GFS was cold all week. Little to melting for NC Piedmont. This is how you get lowland snow in SC. This is also how you can getting nothing with suppression.
Snowflowxxl
Member
This is very close to what 1/28/14 was looking like at this stage, we know how that ended up ??
That's not fropa precip. That's a system sliding along an artic boundary to the south
GeorgiaGirl
Member
No, what happens after that front on Thursday is from something else.