GFS here shows 500mb mid-upper level vertical motion and moisture increasing late this afternoon into this evening. Will be an abrupt end to the snow on the backside and blue skies in the morning for early pictures
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Thing almost went comma head there near the endGFS here shows 500mb mid-upper level vertical motion and moisture increasing late this afternoon into this evening. Will be an abrupt end to the snow on the backside and blue skies in the morning for early pictures
EastNC
Member
Cloudy 30F/25--- Kinston, NC
TigerSnow
Member
Can you nudge that a little higher. I’m right on the edge here in Huntersville.
Steady 27/16
Cary_Snow95
Member
27.7/17.4 in Cary
Cary_Snow95
Member
Final euro run before go time
Deck starting to lower on most recent loop from CAE.
Yea radar is looking great. Optimistic here in se Charlotte.
Sctvman
Member
HRRR continues to play catch-up and improve
Shadow of the Apps
Member
Light Snow in Rutherfordton.. Southern foothills
iGRXY
Member
I was going to make a call map yesterday but the shifting in the models just made it too difficult to pinpoint totals (especially further west).
I am banking on their being more precip than models have been showing with decent ratios. Looking at the radar you can see it's much healthier than models are showing and that phasing energy is just too much in a prime spot for most east of the apps to not get a decent moisture fetch. Couple that with under modeled FGEN driven precip and it's just screaming for a bust on the high end of totals pretty far back west. These totals might be too low honestly. Other story is the ice. Especially in the Pee Dee region and along 95 I think we easily should get a quarter of an inch of ice on average for most places.
I'm expecting around 1-2.5 inches of snow for Columbia and 0.5-2 inches for Aiken/Augusta. Nothing major,but just enough snow to keep us satisfied until next winter or atleast we get a pattern that conductive for a big snowfall around here. Wish us luck to truly finally our snowless streak broken today.
What's your call for Raleigh KyloG?
Per my wife who at our home in Wingate, there is some very light snow falling… I’m at work in Stallings and so far haven’t seen anything
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Interesting. Nothing here in Waxhaw yet.
Sctvman
Member
My hope is 2-3" for Wake County....I do think just E/NE will see 4-5".
Woof
brendan123
Member
Wakefield has upped totals slightly for their Winter Storm Warning for coastal counties along the Chesapeake Bay, and seem to be hinting at the fact that blizzard conditions may be possible without going so far as issuing a blizzard warning.
"Periods of moderate to heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph near the immediate coast."
"Periods of moderate to heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph near the immediate coast."
Just arrived in Jacksonville. It's 30 with a light freezing drizzle. Excited for tonight!
If at 9pm this thing is still wompin it’s gonna have been a good show
Slow drop in coastal SC temperatures has resumed with drops of 1-2 last hour MYR to CHS. For CHS and especially southward toward my area, the trend of temperatures this afternoon in those locations is a crucial factor as to whether or not there will be more than a trace of ZR.
iGRXY
Member
Looking at the COD radars and the moisture is just streaming northward. As far north as northern Alabama and East TN
brendan123
Member
26/19 and overcast, setting the stage for the coldest storm since Jan 2018… maybe even colder than that
Man 2 inches is massive for a place that hasn’t seen widespread 1 inch totals in nearly 8 years.
jay.p
Member
Yeah I’m rooting for y’all this could finally break that endless snow drought!!
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Hard not to be excited about the possibilities this evening. Temperatures are already below freezing across CLT metro with a cold ground, so every flake should start sticking right away.
Stephenb888
Member
Are we gonna be in for a nice surprise? Or just some flurries.
This is a classic pre snow storm look on radar 
Do they have a high end potential?
It something seeing the radar beginning to fill in like that… even though it’s light stuff. The best upper dynamics are still well back to the west and won’t be here for a few hours still
Cloud cover associated with our jet appears to be more northward than guidance suggets. Check out the IR satellite that has high clouds in the southern tip of Ohio (sorry the outlining is terrible its just COD) compared to the RGEM which has that feature only only barely extending into kentucky. This may suggest that the placement of the jet (and associated divergence aloft) is either stronger or more north than modeled.