I bet DT will be honking for Virginia. Since y’all posted his info do you care to show his thinking once he issues it later today? I bet he does 1-2 feet for north-eastern NC into Virginia. I could see that happening like the euro showed.
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
See this dance too many times. I think areas along and N of 85 are sitting pretty.
Would feel much better if it were colder. Then if the precip doesn’t happen we are stuck with a nasty cold rainy day.I'll take this 96 hours out ....
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Snownut
Member
But are you talking about upstate sc north of 85 or you talking Nc?
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Hypsometric
Member
Absolutely. This plus just the general inabilty for coarser global models to accurately predict the northwestern shield of these type of events makes me wonder just how much it could be underdone.This could help with that, no
Flotown
Member
Com
Come on northwest bout 100 miles ease!!! Seriously though i20 in bama and Georgia look good to me
SC and NC precip will fill in by go time not Everytime but if I was a betting man lol
King euro about to be dethroned yet again. It’s prob gonna show 12-18” near Virginia Beach tho and I’m interested to see how much for Raleigh can they do 3-6”…maybe more?!
packfan98
Moderator
GEFS Looks to have improved from previous runs for NC and SC as a whole. Mean precip looks to have shifted further NW too.
Heelyes
Member
I realize some areas are missing out on this map but every state on this board has some snow showing, that seems like it's pretty close to board wide. Whamby if necessary.GEFS Looks to have improved from previous runs for NC and SC as a whole. Mean precip looks to have shifted further NW too.
Drscottsmith
Member
Does confidence increase with a particular model when events occur so close together (e.g. The ____ did so well with the 1/15-16 event that we should pay most attention to it's output for the 1/22 event)?
Cary_Snow95
Member
Gross
snowlover91
Member
CMC is pretty suppressed.
Much better press over the NE though.CMC is pretty suppressed.
snowlover91
Member
Yeah but it won't matter if there is no QPF to work with. CMC a bit of an outlier but goes to show this isn't a guaranteed storm like Euro/GFS show, things can still shift bad here if the timing isn't right.
canadian east.
