Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential

[WeatherNC]

This was extremely close to being a generational type for the East Coast, surprises await, EE 4’ in BOS <66hrs is still very much up in the air. We say these looks come every year, but they just don’t.

It’s been a pretty good January, this is a light glaze on top.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

hrrr actually looking juicier so far with the band in the mountains

 

[SC_Wildcat]

Hoping us here in the pee dee can see maybe 2 inches.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh lawd

 

[DopplerWx]

Here it comes

 

[Tokenfreak]

My snow forecast for my location lol

Better than nothing I suppose haha

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

View attachment 111126

Looks to be a touch east compared to 18z

 

[BullCityWx]

HRRRRRRRRRRR showing inch an hour cells in Caswell County. Looks like it has its eye on Orange and Western Durham.

 

[DopplerWx]

 

[WeatherNC]

HRRR looks like a soup sandwich. That’s a lot of torque on the plate.

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr crashes temps down to the upper-mid 20s under the band during the mid-late phases of it

 

[HKY1994]

This was extremely close to being a generational type for the East Coast, surprises await, EE 4’ in BOS
It’s been a pretty good January, this is a light glaze on top.

Would love to chase this one somewhere near Boston, maybe Taunton would be the place to be.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Deleted member 1449]

The HRRR looks good for the Triad. The soundings are all snow from the get-go. Here's the 7Z sounding. Rare to see the DGZ so low.

 

[Tarheel1]

View attachment 111126

It keeps adding more rain to that band! A day ago, when it was showing up, it was all snow down to CAE, now just the tip is rain! ?

 

[weather nerd]

Timing sucks and a lot of precipitation is wasted as rain down here. Expected. Rain snow mix to about 15 minutes if snow. #yay

 

[WeatherNC]

Looking like tail end of a maturing comma head lifting ENE from Central NC/SC. Convective in nature.

 

[BullCityWx]

HRRRRRRRRR has a maxima between Danville and Smith Mtn Lake of six tenths.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

QPF is really light, tho. This thing really intrigues me.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Deleted member 1449]

I think that's about 3" at @BIG FROSTY's place.

 

[KyloG]

Raleigh only got .21 of precip last Friday/Sat for its 3” event.

Maybe some areas can squeeze out .25 of precip to scare 3” of snow.

 

[RBR71]

Raleigh only got .21 of precip last Friday/Sat for its 3” event.

Maybe some areas can squeeze out .25 of precip to scare 3” of snow.


View attachment 111135

.01 up here, seems legit

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Beautiful convective sounding. Supports heavy rates and thundersnow. Excellent lift in the snow growth zone

 

[ColaSnow]

Looking like tail end of a maturing comma head lifting ENE from Central NC/SC. Convective in nature.

Unfortunately, it'll be brief.

 

[WeatherNC]

That’s a lot of precip in the Gulf Stream.

 

[BullCityWx]

I think that's about 3" at @BIG FROSTY's place.

1” line all the way to Georgetown, SC.

 

[NCSNOW]

This was extremely close to being a generational type for the East Coast, surprises await, EE 4’ in BOS <66hrs is still very much up in the air. We say these looks come every year, but they just don’t.

It’s been a pretty good January, this is a light glaze on top.

Best post in this storm thread. Folks, espeacilly general public have no clue of the whopper opportunity we just missed on. They come along so rare.

 

[BullCityWx]

We definitely just missed this one.

I am hella intrigued by next weekend tho.

 

[LickWx]

Best post in this storm thread. Folks, espeacilly general public have no clue of the whopper opportunity we just missed on. They come along so rare.

It’s impressive . I’m excited to see the highest totals up there . They could do much of their annual climo in one storm.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Raleigh only got .21 of precip last Friday/Sat for its 3” event.

Maybe some areas can squeeze out .25 of precip to scare 3” of snow.


View attachment 111135

If this doesn’t scream nowcast I dont know what would

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Interesting nams now look like the hrrr when it comes to 700mb moisture

 

[DopplerWx]

 

[Stormsfury]

I wish to reiterate a couple of points here. I still have issues where the SFC low and also the 850mb Lowe are forming offshore... I think corrections a little further west are coming ... the thermal gradient from Gulf Stream and near shore waters lend me to believe.

Another interesting aspect here is the upper trough overhead the Carolinas... I've seen those basically ignite as soon as the Sun comes up and insolation induces convection to fire, even in the morning hours due to such strong lapse rates...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Umm.. wtf ? that mesolow

 

[Hypsometric]

Best post in this storm thread. Folks, espeacilly general public have no clue of the whopper opportunity we just missed on. They come along so rare.

I realize it. Makes it pretty frickin hard to get excited about some table scrap band that is going to shaft most and leave a dusting-half inch footprint when we were just a fraction away from a bomb at our latitude.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Umm.. wtf ? that mesolow View attachment 111141
Very underdone with precip IMO

 

[KyloG]

NAM is very impressive for e/ne NC. ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]