Outside of the NAM,which is completely unreliable,we are clearly trending towards a later phase/a futher north low pressure system on the models. Maybe the RGEM is on to something after all. It was one of the few models that had the preciptation futher southwest on the last week system. Here it's showing that the storm doesn't develop until it almost gets towards the Virgina coast. I give it until the enegry gets sampled before I give up,but unless I lived in NE North Carolina and points North, I would keep my expectations quite low.