MichaelJ
Member
This looks like a carbon copy of the last storm, ENC jackpots and WNC is looking for a dusting. While it may come back to the NW a little, with no strong high to our North, probably not.
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter $alt
- Start date
snowlover91
Member
After how poorly the NAM did with the last system, only thing it’s useful for this time around is to see if it is trending towards globals. Rgem, gfs, euro are top 3 watches.
Beginning to think this piece is our wildcard, getting this puppy to trend a little stronger/west could do wonders in the tilt/southern dig of the complex at large
The problem you have tho is there is nothing to hold this back toward the coast in a flow like that. I am not saying it won't happen, or be like the EURO, but you have to play catch the vort pieces at the right time and that is not going to be easy. If there was some blocking out ahead.....well...then..
packfan98
Moderator
12z RGEM says the game is still on.
lexxnchloe
Member
Alot of people seem negative on this but i like where the low is on most of the models. Could it still miss? Sure, but at the same time we dont need any huge shifts for this to be a goos storm, just minor changes.12z RGEM says the game is still on.
smast16
Member
Also, Stop reading into most of these maps as their 10:1 ratios. And this ain't about to be anything close to 10:1
Vs the last run
packfan98
Moderator
It's a pay subscription service - https://maps.weatherbell.com/
Okay… I’m broke. LOL. Was hoping for free maps somewhere. Appreciate the response. HAGD
dsaur
Member
Could be the end result is what was showing early on with the last one. North central Ga being on the northern edge of a precip shield from a suppressed system, and getting the sleet and snow we so richly deserve
A south of I 20 deal. I've been under virga today, and if this weekend is similar, with much colder air in place, it becomes a matter of watching the precip shield coming in from the west.
When the RGEM speaks .. we listen 
Mean temps on the GEFS is in the upper 20s/ around 30 when it’s snowing, it would probably be close or at 10:1 during the peak of the event if it happens, esp with favorable diurnal timing
LickWx
Member
Isn’t the snow being shown in the eastern areas though which aren’t in the 20s?
Right now your in a pretty good spot but you really can't afford to much more westward shift
Positive early trend on the GFS. The entire northern stream is slightly west, and the southern vort max is a little east. Could make for an easier phase in coming frames?
12Z
VS 6Z
12Z
Mean temps around Raleigh is around 30Fduring the peak, for areas east as usual it’s warmer around 31-33