Well dang, honestly iirc it wasn't that bad for the last system hmmm
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter $alt
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iGRXY
Member
Earlier phase near the gulf coast around LA/Miss would really help the upstate and NE GA. Right now it looks like we could get some backside snow showers. Still got time to see where this goes as the energies in question haven’t really been sampled yet. That’ll start to happen today and tomorrow.
EPS trolling hard
Oh 
YepEPS trolling hard
The EPS/GEFS are on top of each other...but I want to see these tick west a 100 miles the next 48 hours. When has these not shifted west and flipped us to rain.
I mean if you live in NC. You can’t help but love the consensus right now. Almost every ensemble member of both euro and Gfs are giving at least light snow events to central and eastern NC with many giving winter storm criteria snows as well .. the ones that really have us scoring I’ve noticed even take the NE out of the game .. looks like we are close enough to the phase for magic at this range .. now can we hold this look for multiple days until go time? Probably not lol
NCSNOW
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I'll take one of the two: Earlier phase in the GOM or just a Tighter Tuck to the NC Coast. The Tighter tuck by 50-100 miles would really beef up accums by itself off the euro and ens suite. If we get an earlier phase back toward Louisianna, even if it doesnt make it all the way back to LA per say. It still will mean a stronger storm as it passes our zipcodes riding up the coast. No gurantees, but 1 or both are easily doable.
Hopefully the GFs at some point Today/Tonight gets back on board and quits holding energy back. usual day 3-5 model handicap appears to be in play once again.
No doubt there's gonna be one more seismic bump as we draw closer to Thursday when all the players start appearing on the field of play ( conus)
Hopefully the GFs at some point Today/Tonight gets back on board and quits holding energy back. usual day 3-5 model handicap appears to be in play once again.
No doubt there's gonna be one more seismic bump as we draw closer to Thursday when all the players start appearing on the field of play ( conus)
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Oh 
bingcrosbyb
Member
A couple of more trends west today on Euro and this could get very interesting. Could look like GFS bomb from Saturday.
Congrats everyone. After some solid 0z and 6z runs, we have regained about 90% of the ground we lost with that 18z suite. Lol. I know i was pretty adamant it was a blip and I still kind of think that but it’s taking a bit for the models to recover
If we see what we saw in the last event, euro is going to be much closer to the coast eventually.
Just like this system, the Boxing Day storm, as I recall, also relied on a piece of northern stream energy that dived into the trough, therefore amping and pulling it to the west. Models lost it as well before correcting just before go time.
BHS1975
Member
Models have come a long was since then due too massive computing power but the data coming in is the same or worse due to COVID.
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smast16
Member
So, are we just gonna not talk about the GFS and ride the Euro till death do us part?