Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)

[ryan1234]

My pants are still bursting over tha hrrr run, just your casual 8.2C low level LR, 100 joules+ of SBcape and DGZ down to 850mb, is this the southeast or Colorado ? Lol View attachment 59724

That is just insane, let's just hope it holds and that we don't get NAM'd!

 

[NewnanWetather]

Yeah, they have brined HWY 225 in Murray County as well.

They did that all over Ga even in Coweta.

 

[Broken024]

My pants is still bursting over tha hrrr run, just your casual 8.2C low level LR, 100 joules+ of SBcape and DGZ down to 850mb, is this the southeast or Colorado ? Lol View attachment 59724

Getting mildly interested here. Would be pretty cool to have a snow shower Christmas morning.

 

[winterwx]

RDPS making Christmas evening look super interesting with that clipper! No matter what happens this has been cool to track.

 

[BHS1975]

That would probably produce about 25-30:1 ratio snow. This sounding is not far off KCLT’s during the January 2003 storm. 8.5 inches of snow in Charlotte with only .27 liquid equivalent.

If you get under one of those cells it will be puking dandruff.


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[jackendrickwx]

So you’re telling me there’s a chance

 

[ATLwxfan]

I’d like it more if we had more than one mesoscale model supporting this. The NAM is not interested in a convective event. That’s a problem we will need to see change in the next run or two.


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[LovingGulfLows]

I’d like it more if we had more than one mesoscale model supporting this. The NAM is not interested in a convective event. That’s a problem we will need to see change in the next run or two.


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RGEM and HRRR are both showing some pretty widespread snow flurries/showers....at least through our area. I'm pretty confident some areas of metro ATL will see snow fall late Thursday night through Friday morning.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

She’s a beaut ! View attachment 59699Lol between 50-150 joules of surface based cape ! This is stuff that reminds me of that convective snow setup in 2013 View attachment 59700

That one was a banger! One of my all time favorites. Lee side trough ftw

 

[Webberweather53]

Phew boy, I just saw the 18z HRRR.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Speaking of 2013 Lee side trough event. That one was very unexpected. Turned out to be extremely convective. Probably a bit different than this setup though because temps were in the low 40’s. I accumulated several inches of snow around 40 degrees that day. Epic

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Phew boy, I just saw the 18z HRRR.



View attachment 59731

View attachment 59732

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This was what the February 2013 Lee side trough event did. What a great day that was.
Picture I took after it was done

 

[Broken024]

This was what the February 2013 Lee side trough event did. What a great day that was.View attachment 59737
Picture I took after it was done View attachment 59736

Yea that was a good one. Got about 3 inches

 

[LovingGulfLows]

If the RGEM/HRRR is to be believed, this could be one of those scenarios where the DGZ is so low and relatively shallow that you could be seeing snow outside while seeing no returns on radar over your home because it's falling so low in the atmosphere.

 

[carolinachaos]

I definitely remember this event, I drove from Charlotte to Florence, by the time I got off I-20 it was moderately snowing in Florence had about 2” from that system.


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[Snownut]

What's the chance someone could see thunder snow out of this thing.

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[winterwx]

If the RGEM/HRRR is to be believed, this could be one of those scenarios where the DGZ is so low and relatively shallow that you could be seeing snow outside while seeing no returns on radar over your home because it's falling so low in the atmosphere.

That was how it was here on November 30th... nothing on radar and moderate snow outside!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Y'all. It won't let me post pictures. But take a look at the rapid refresh 21z! It looks good!

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[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Y'all. It won't let me post pictures. But take a look at the rapid refresh 21z! It looks good!

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Same as 15z. Forms a nice band over the nc/sc border.

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