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Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)

I think it was the first to pick up on that first snow we got last year. However that's the only time it's been right lol

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I mean it has some some support in the HRRR. HRRR isn't as widespread or heavy with it as the RAP, but maybe these models are picking up on the backend energy riding down the trough being more amped. With how cold and deep this air is, it won't take much to set the spark.
 
I don’t know about you guys, but I am stoked as hell About the weather we are about to have over the next 48 hours, of course I am hoping for the best in regards to the tornado threat but as far as the snow threat, I am pulling for a couple flurries down here in the armpit of hell. 00z HRRR is going to be interesting.
 
If the RGEM/HRRR is to be believed, this could be one of those scenarios where the DGZ is so low and relatively shallow that you could be seeing snow outside while seeing no returns on radar over your home because it's falling so low in the atmosphere.
That was how it was here on November 30th... nothing on radar and moderate snow outside!

Thats what I was about to say, the November 30th event was solid snow showers for straight six hours, when it showed up on radar is when it started to cover the deck, but most of the time it wasn’t on radar. It was the same for the next two flurry events so far this month.
 
If the RGEM/HRRR is to be believed, this could be one of those scenarios where the DGZ is so low and relatively shallow that you could be seeing snow outside while seeing no returns on radar over your home because it's falling so low in the atmosphere.

Like a ski trip at 10,000 feet


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