JP152
Member
Yeah i'd rather have the snow cover I think. But hey, it's Illinois, so at least I don't have to worry like people in NC...lol
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Pattern Outside of the SE thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JP152
Member
Forecast is for 53 Christmas Eve and 58 Christmas Day.
Brent
Member
Is this good?
All time record high for December is 80 from
December 24 1955
December 13 1948
December 7 1966
All time record high for December is 80 from
December 24 1955
December 13 1948
December 7 1966
A high risk for excessive rainfall in the LA metro on Christmas Eve
Dude... that is ridiculous lows..
Brent
Member
Oh I know the Texas group im in is almost cancelling the whole winter it's so bad haha
I'm not there yet but heck it's been so dry this month even if we get cold... Theres no guarantee there's even precip!
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JP152
Member
My forecast for Christmas Day keeps going down. A few days ago we were going to be in the 60's.
Brent
Member
I guess it's come down slightly for highs(still records though) here only because apparently we have humidity moving in haha. There was moisture all over the place this morning
The morning lows are gonna be more ridiculous yeah and how long it lasts
Brent
Member
Well there is a signal at least haha
Brent
Member
While people were cancelling the entire winter yesterday haha
For the upcoming anticipated heavy NYC snow starting later today: The NAMs at 12Z came back S and we’re back to all models showing a heavy hit there. The Euro suite has been on top of this for a number of days.
The NWS is now going 6-10” in Manhattan/Bronx and 4-8” for Queens, Brooklyn, and Staten Island. It’s not too often that Manhattan is forecasted to both have that much and also the most. The last time Central Park got 6”+ in a single storm was nearly 4 years ago, 1/28-9/2022, when they got 8.5”. So, it’s been awhile.
Dec NYC snowfall of 4”+ in La Niña is a positive indicator for snowfall during the rest of winter there.
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
149 AM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...
TODAY
PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING, THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY
THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. COOLER WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH, BECOMING
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE EVENING. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
40 PERCENT.
The NWS is now going 6-10” in Manhattan/Bronx and 4-8” for Queens, Brooklyn, and Staten Island. It’s not too often that Manhattan is forecasted to both have that much and also the most. The last time Central Park got 6”+ in a single storm was nearly 4 years ago, 1/28-9/2022, when they got 8.5”. So, it’s been awhile.
Dec NYC snowfall of 4”+ in La Niña is a positive indicator for snowfall during the rest of winter there.
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
149 AM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...
TODAY
PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING, THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY
THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. COOLER WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH, BECOMING
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE EVENING. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
40 PERCENT.
Already 85*F at DFW as of 1pm (record high was 83*F).
86*F is the official high.
JP152
Member
Got up to 58 today. Cold front by Sunday night though, with thunderstorms pre-arrival.
Brent
Member
Storm could bring New York City its biggest snow since 2022 according to this article
The forecast isnt even over 6 inches haha
The forecast isnt even over 6 inches haha
That NYC storm is busting big time for them, between much more dry slotting and the warm nose penetrating further NE than expected (poor ratios & sleet). There are meltdowns galore right now over at AmWx.
It’s busting vs the high expectations but it’s just snow we’re talking about, not the end of the world. What’s the big deal? And they got some, which is their second snow of a month that typically doesn’t get much.
Also, other areas covered by that forum got a lot like what Brent posted.
Some ocean effect is falling!
In addition, radar has filled in nicely with showery echos as I earlier said. So, not done by any means:
Also, other areas covered by that forum got a lot like what Brent posted.
Some ocean effect is falling!
In addition, radar has filled in nicely with showery echos as I earlier said. So, not done by any means:
Local Mets calling for a dusting to 1/2” for most of Iowa!!?? I smell a bust! 
Brent
Member
The sad part is 27 is only average haha 81 would be all time high for December after 4 days straight of record highs 
Like the Brad Pnof Iowa! 
It's busting relative to what was originally forecasted (widespread 6-10").
NYC average 5" in December, which is nothing to sneeze at. It's certainly more than all of us in the South will ever see most years.
Finally looking at models, I guess?
C Pk has 4.3” as of 7AM on 0.49” liquid
La Guardia/JFK 4.1”
Islip 6.6”
Newark 4.2”
So, all NYC area official reports >4”. So, this was not a bad bust at all. Overall totals were on the low end of the range and the highest C Pk fcast was 6” min. though others had a 4” min.
C Pk is now up to 7.2” month to date, making it the snowiest month since Jan ‘22. In addition, this month is headed to ~5 BN, the first any month will end up that far BN since Mar of 2015!